Polymarket 交易量分析顯示，近一半的交易可能是非真實活動

Polymarket 日活用户突破 15 万人，近两周交易額超 10 億美元

Gate News 消息，3 月 20 日，據 Token Terminal 數據，Polymarket 日活用戶達 15.14 萬人，創歷史新高。此外，該平台近兩週的交易額突破 10 億美元大關，同樣創歷史新高。

估值直飆 220 億鎂！Kalshi 獲 Coatue 領投 10 億美元融資，無懼各州監管逆風

美國預測市場平台Kalshi近期成功籌集超過10億美元，估值達220億美元，四個月內翻倍。雖然面臨法律挑戰，但其年營收運轉率達15億美元，顯示出機構及散戶對預測市場的需求強勁。投資者對Kalshi的信心持續增強，反映了該平台作為新金融資產的潛力。

Polymarket Data: Probability of Ethereum Breaking Through $2,400 in March Falls to 31%, Down 39 Percentage Points from March 16

Polymarket data shows that the probability of Ethereum breaking through $2,400 in March has dropped to 31%, with trading volume of $13.8 million. The probability of breaking through $2,600 is 12%, while the probabilities of falling below $1,800 and $1,600 are 13% and 6% respectively. Compared to the 70% expectation on March 16th, market confidence has significantly declined.

Polymarket 上 Backpack 上线首日 FDV 突破 3 亿美元概率降至 60%

Polymarket predictions show that the probability of Backpack token's FDV breaking through $300 million on its first day of listing has dropped to 60%, with a 90% probability of breaking through $200 million, and a 99% probability of breaking through $100 million. Current trading volume stands at $6.75 million, with BP pre-market perpetual contracts trading at approximately 0.33 USDT, corresponding to an FDV of approximately $330 million.

日本央行 3 月 19 日维持利率 0.75% 不变，Polymarket 上线 6 月利率决议预测市场

日本央行在3月19日的会议上以8比1的投票决定将基准利率维持在0.75%不变，连续两次暂停加息。尽管经济正在复苏，但中东局势和原油价格上涨增加了不确定性，部分机构预计6月可能重启加息。

新錢包「-human-」下注 $220K 反對美國外星人確認

Gate News bot 消息，一個新創建的錢包名稱為 "-human-" 對預測 "美國將不確認外星人存在" 下注了 $220,000。該錢包是專門為此賭注而建立的。