Michael Saylor反駁對比特幣國庫模型的批評

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Michael Saylor 本週將再次亮相,發聲捍衛持有比特幣庫存的公司 (比特幣庫存),認為目前的辯論偏離了焦點,過於專注於短期價格波動。

在《What Bitcoin Did》播客中發表的言論中,Strategy 的聯合創始人強調比特幣的真正進展不在於每日的價格圖表,而在於其滲透到組織、信貸市場、會計準則和銀行系統中。他認為2025年被許多交易者誤判,只看到調整的波動,而結構基礎卻在此期間得到了強化。

比特幣在2025年10月初創下新高,距離年底約三個月。儘管年底收盤價低於高點,Saylor 指出參與企業的快速增長:持有比特幣的上市公司數量從2024年的約30–60家增加到2025年底接近200家。

Strategy 在2025年僅購買了約250億美元的比特幣,主要通過融資完成。到2026年,該公司繼續加大積累,包括再購13,627 BTC,價值約12.5億美元。

Saylor 也強調法律和會計變革大幅降低了企業的門檻,例如合理市值會計準則和更明確的未實現利潤稅務指導。到2025年底,美國多家大型銀行已接受以現貨比特幣ETF作為抵押貸款,甚至準備直接以BTC提供貸款。

他認為,核心差異在於企業運營中持有比特幣,而非僅是被動投資工具如ETF。公司可以發行債務、建立信貸產品或金融服務,基於其持有的比特幣,從而產生更高的靈活性。

Saylor 駁斥了“比特幣庫存公司過多”的擔憂,將這些批評比作早期對電力的懷疑。他承認管理不善仍是風險,但認為無論企業強弱,只要策略得當,都能改善其地位。

展望2026年,Saylor 拒絕短期價格預測,認為試圖預測比特幣在90天內的走勢是錯誤的。他將比特幣描述為一種數字資本,正逐步融入全球信貸體系,這一因素將塑造下一階段的接受過程,儘管短期內價格波動仍在。

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