Macroeconomics

Indonesia's rupiah has hit a record low against the Singapore dollar due to rising oil prices and capital outflows from financial markets. Concerns about demand for Singaporean services and export flows to Indonesia are growing. The central bank's interventions aim to stabilize the currency.

Eurozone consumer price inflation rose to 2.6% in March, surpassing February's 1.9% and the initial estimate of 2.5%. Core CPI fell slightly to 2.3%, down from 2.4% in February.

On April 16, Hong Kong dollar interbank offered rates (HIBOR) increased for most durations, with one-month HIBOR at 2.34571% and three-month HIBOR at 2.47583%. Overnight rates surged significantly, while six-month and one-year HIBOR declined.

The Australian dollar has reached a 30-year high against the Japanese yen, propelled by optimism over a US-Iran ceasefire and a global equity rally. The RBA's hawkish policy and positive links to equity markets enhance AUD's appeal, though risks remain due to potential volatility.

Gate News: According to the latest Gate TradFi data, JPN225 (Nikkei 225) has surged by 1.5% in a short period. Current volatility is significantly higher than recent averages, indicating increased market

Benefiting from positive news about the U.S.-Iran peace agreement, the stock market surged sharply, with the Nasdaq index and the S&P 500 index reaching record highs. Bitcoin remained steady at 74K, market sentiment improved, and the Fear & Greed Index rose to 55. Investor FOMO toward the stock market intensified, and the total market capitalization in the crypto market increased overall, indicating genuine buy-side interest.

The IMF has downgraded its 2026 global growth forecast to 3.1%, citing risks of recession from rising oil prices and US-Iran tensions. Bitcoin has also dropped significantly amid poor macroeconomic conditions and rising global debt.

On April 15, Japanese and South Korean stock markets saw gains, with Japan's Nikkei 225 increasing by 0.44% to 58,134.24 points and South Korea's KOSPI rising by 2.07% to 6,091.39 points.

Bitcoin (BTC) continues to rise, reaching $74,670 on April 15. On the X platform, Cashtags were launched in the United States and Canada, integrating real-time financial data and trading. With the Bitcoin halving underway, there are only 105,000 blocks left until the next reward halving. Market sentiment is optimistic, and the US stock market also recorded gains. Among various crypto-news updates, the ARIA token price has crashed, and events such as Virginia’s new law incorporating digital assets have been reported.

On April 15, Japan's Nikkei 225 index rose 410.48 points to 58,287.87, closing above 58,000 for the first time in three months. South Korea's KOSPI index increased by 177.87 points, with Samsung Electronics shares gaining over 4%.

On April 14, the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) fell by 0.25% to 98.124 as the dollar weakened against several major currencies, including the euro, British pound, yen, Swiss franc, Canadian dollar, and Swedish krona.

Gate News: According to the latest Gate TradFi data, NAS100 (Nasdaq 100) has surged by 1.5% in a short period. Current volatility is significantly higher than recent averages, indicating increased market

Gate News: According to the latest Gate TradFi data, USDINR (US Dollar vs Indian Rupee) has surged by 2% in a short period. Current volatility is significantly higher than recent averages, indicating increased market

Gate News: According to the latest Gate TradFi data, XTIUSD (WTI Crude USOIL) has dropped by 4% in a short period. Current volatility is significantly higher than recent averages, indicating increased market

Gate News message, April 14, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) released its latest edition of the World Economic Outlook report, lowering its forecast for global economic growth in 2026 by 0.2 percentage points to 3.1%. The report notes that the fighting in the Middle East has significantly affected the current momentum of global economic growth. If the fighting and high oil prices continue for longer, this year global economic growth will fall to 2.5% or even lower.

Gate News updates, April 14, April 14 (Tuesday) close, the Nikkei 225 Index (Japan’s benchmark stock market index) rose 1374.62 points, up 2.43%, to 57877.39 points. The Korea KOSPI Index (Korea Composite Stock Price Index) rose 159.12 points, up 2.74%, to 5967.74 points.

JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon warned in his annual shareholder letter that a war with Iran could trigger persistent oil and commodity price shocks, creating inflation pressure that is stickier than the market expects, and that the Federal Reserve may need to maintain high interest rates for longer. He noted that the war’s economic impact is widespread, including a global restructuring of supply chains and rising energy prices. In addition, Dimon still holds a positive view of the U.S. economy, but warned that the economic shocks from the war could weaken that resilience.

BlackRock strategists have again turned bullish on U.S. stocks, taking an overweight view. They believe the impact of the Middle East conflict on the global economy is manageable, and that corporate earnings forecasts are rising. The recent ceasefire and the resumption of shipping are seen as positive signals—especially with the technology sector performing strongly.

Gate News: According to the latest Gate TradFi data, XTIUSD (WTI Crude USOIL) has surged by 2% in a short period. Current volatility is significantly higher than recent averages, indicating increased market

Digital asset investment products saw $1.1B in inflows last week, the highest since January, driven by a renewed risk appetite following easing geopolitical tensions and favorable U.S. inflation data. Bitcoin ($BTC) led the rally with $871M, while Ethereum ($ETH) gained $196.5M.