在地缘政治風險與宏觀壓力影響下，比特幣價格跌破6.8萬美元，SkyBridge Capital創始人Anthony Scaramucci認為這屬於典型的周期性回調，預計2026年比特幣可能重新上漲。儘管市場面臨短期風險，長期看漲觀點依然穩固。

Skybridge Capital founder Anthony Scaramucci stated that Bitcoin's current bear market can be explained by the four-year cycle theory, with long-term holders concentrating their selling around $100,000. He predicts Bitcoin will resume its rally in Q4 2026, initiating a new bull market cycle. Institutional investors and ETF capital inflows have dampened the four-year cycle, but have not completely eliminated its pattern.

Gate News Report: On March 21st, according to Arkham monitoring, Ethereum OG address thomasg.eth is re-entering the market. This address previously held approximately $538 million worth of ETH, WBTC, and DAI at the peak of the 2021 bull market. Latest data shows that this address has cumulatively purchased approximately $19.5 million worth of ETH this week, with the latest single purchase amounting to approximately $3 million.

Bitcoin recently broke through $74,000 briefly but pulled back to around $70,800 due to selling pressure from short-term holders. Although prices show an upward trend, they face structural resistance, and the current movement looks more like a bear market rally than a bull market launch. If unable to effectively resist selling pressure, it may break below the $70,000 support level. The market is still waiting for clearer signals.

3月19日，美聯儲維持利率不變後，加密市場情緒轉向看漲，交易員對比特幣反彈押注增多。然而，市場對反彈的持續性存疑，分析師警示可能出現“牛市陷阱”。比特幣價格約70,800美元，情緒指數仍顯示“極度恐懼”，市場波動受利率路徑、股市表現等因素影響。

Odaily星球日报訊 納斯達克上市公司 DeFi Technologies 旗下子公司 Valour 宣布已在瑞典證券市場 Spotlight Stock Market 推出恒定槓桿比特幣和以太坊交易所交易產品 Bull Bitcoin X2 Valour 和 Bull Ethereum X2

比特幣在 0.382 費波納契關鍵支撐位附近徘徊，市場正關注其能否穩住這一道多頭防線。分析師 Daan Crypto Trades 警告稱，一旦跌破該水平，比特幣可能回落至 4 月份的 7.6 萬美元區域，並可能破壞高時間框架的上漲結構。 上週末，比特幣在一輪槓桿清算中短暫跌破 8.8 萬美元，隨後回升至 9.15 萬美元。分析師 Bull Theory 將這一走勢形容為典型的「低流動性週末清算」，認為這是利用市場薄弱結構雙向擠壓槓桿倉位的走勢。 市場接下來將迎來聯準會 FOMC 會議，普遍預期將降息 0.25%。然而，自 10 月首次降息以來，加密市場情緒反而有所降溫，主要因鮑威爾強調決策將以經濟數據為主導，市場無法簡單押注長期寬鬆週期。10x Research 的 Markus Thielen 指出，12 月 ETF 流入減弱、交易量下降，使比特幣短期突破空間受限，波動收窄也增加了下行風險。

Odaily星球日報訊 Deribit 亞太商務負責人 LinChen 發文表示，某期權交易者買了 2 萬個 BTC 的多頭看漲禿鷹價差，看漲 BTC 年底在 10.6 萬到 11.2 萬的區間：買年底 10 萬看漲；賣年底 10.6 萬看漲；賣年底 11.2 萬看漲；買年底 11.8 萬看漲。Odaily 注：多頭看漲禿鷹價差 Bull Condor Spread，一種期權組合策略，使用四個不同執行價格的四個期權合約，在預期標的資產會溫和漲但漲幅度有限的情況下使用，具體爲從低到高四個看漲價格，買入最低和最高價格的期權，賣出兩個中間價格的期權。