Furuixianghe

Volume: A trend must show increasing volume at its initial stage, especially after a long period of sideways movement. However, the best entry point is after a secondary pullback and the main force has finished shaking out the weak hands.
Price: Pay attention to the closing price; only when it closes above the resistance level does the breakout become genuine.
Time: It’s best to experience at least three months of decreasing volume sideways consolidation before the breakout, with chip concentration below 10%. When the main force has fully accumulated positions, the subsequent rally will ha

"Boiling a frog in warm water" is a double-edged sword for the crypto world. On the surface, employment is still okay, and the US dollar is holding up for now, but companies and consumers' wallets are already being squeezed by costs, and this will eventually spill over into risk assets. Now is not the time for a big push; more likely, it's a matter of waiting patiently for the "panic sell-off" to create a golden opportunity.

On-chain data shows that ETH is severely undervalued.
The MVRV Z-Score has dropped to a historical low of -36%, with total DeFi locked value increasing from $86 billion to $121 billion, and 31,000 developers still working. Indicators don't lie; ETH is now on sale.
On one side are institutions rushing in, supply drying up, and valuations at historic lows.
On the other side are frightening quantum computing, 20x leverage on shorts, and a macro environment that’s deadly.

A high-probability trading pair is one that usually moves steadily but suddenly starts to lose control, with increased volatility—not just larger but faster, with candlesticks expanding, trading volume surging, prices clearly diverging from the moving average, and market sentiment becoming overwhelmingly one-sided. When these factors occur together, the likelihood of a reversal significantly increases.

If the sharp drop from 2200 a few days ago was a狂欢 for the bears, then the drop to the 1936 level on the 4-hour chart leaves an absolute "epic single needle bottom"!
What does this long lower shadow mean? It indicates that in extreme panic, the main funds entered with a "one-click clearing" of all high-leverage longs, triggering a chain of liquidations and completing the bloodiest chip turnover!
The massive volume at the bottom is also irrefutable evidence: retail investors, in despair, surrender bloodied chips, while whales are疯狂吞噬 at the bottom!

First, the US-Iran situation is on the verge of explosion, and geopolitical risks have already driven gold prices higher. Risk assets like ETH are most afraid of a sudden surge in "safe-haven sentiment."
Second, Trump has publicly criticized Powell multiple times, saying "not cutting interest rates is opposing the US economy." As long as Powell dares to say "pause rate adjustments" tonight, the market will interpret it as "the Federal Reserve tightening liquidity," which is a direct sell-off signal for ETH.
Third, there are non-farm payroll data this week, and the market is currently in an "ex

Strong coins that have fallen for 9 consecutive days after reaching a high must be followed up promptly.
Any coin that has increased for two consecutive days must be reduced in position promptly.
If any coin surges more than 7%, there is still a chance to push higher the next day; you can continue to observe. $FUN
For strong bull coins, wait until the correction ends before entering the market.
If any coin remains flat for three consecutive days, observe for another three days; if there is no change, consider switching to n.
If any coin fails to recover its previous day's cost price

Give up illusions and face reality. Don't blindly believe in an eternal bull market. The core variables in the current market are: war, oil prices, inflation, and the Federal Reserve. Of these four, three are bearish, and only one is uncertain. What do you think will happen?
Stay away from leverage and simplify your approach. The liquidation of 300 million dollars just yesterday. In this market, those who survive are not the smartest, but the ones who are most afraid of dying.

Don't chase high! If you don't have any positions, wait for a pullback to the 2030-2050 zone to stabilize before adding lightly and betting on a rebound; if it reaches around 2170-2220, you can try a small short position. Want to know the specific entry point and the safest stop-loss placement?
Today, ETH's overall trend looks like a rebound, but it's difficult to surge directly to 2180. Major players are using news to "confuse the public," so retail investors should avoid betting on a one-sided move.

Control: Strictly manage entry positions
Only deploy 20% of capital as a base position. Wait for trend clarity before entering. Completely avoid minor fluctuations.
If directional judgment fails, take small losses with decisive stops. Never drag out losses.
Follow: Add positions with trend discipline, never blindly
Only after confirming trend continuation, wait for pullbacks and consolidation before adding 30% in floating positions. Absolutely no chasing rallies or panic selling.
Roll: Capture the main uptrend with full force
After two consecutive profit-takings with clear strong market signal

ETH is hitting the bottom, don't be fooled! This is not the bottom, just a consolidation for short positions! The long-term trend remains bearish, blindly catching the falling knife will only get you trapped, and rebounds are the best opportunity to short. Going with the trend is the key! I've said it before, 2114 is just a weak oscillation after an oversold condition; the major downtrend in the larger cycle hasn't been broken. Catching the bottom now is like grabbing a falling knife! Instead of betting on a rebound, it's better to short along the trend and steadily take profits.

Bitcoin is currently exhibiting a strong breakout pattern! From a low of $67,300, it has launched a powerful upward move, with multiple consecutive bullish candles accompanied by increased volume, successfully breaking through several moving average resistances. It is now holding steady above the critical support level of $70,494 and is pushing toward the resistance at $71,522. In terms of candlestick patterns, yesterday formed a clear bullish engulfing pattern, establishing higher short-term highs. The overall trend remains within an upward channel, with bullish momentum clearly accelerating

Gold has already broken through $4370, silver collapsed 4%, so what makes you think BTC can stay unaffected? At this critical juncture, Bitcoin is not a safe-haven asset—it's a "high-risk liquid asset." Large capital is dumping it first.
Don't apply the old "war bull" logic to today's situation. Right now we're in a global capital "rush to the exits" environment. Under these conditions, expecting BTC to rally independently? Not a chance!

Gold weakened significantly this week. Gold prices fell an additional 3.5% on Friday to $4,488 per ounce; calculated on a weekly basis, the cumulative decline was approximately 11%, marking the largest single-week drop since 1983. Market participants believe that the ongoing uncertainty stemming from geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, combined with shifts in macroeconomic expectations, are jointly putting pressure on gold prices.
Meanwhile, investor expectations have intensified that the Federal Reserve may not cut rates this year. Federal Reserve Chair Powell indicated that inflation c

The 1-hour chart shows a MACD crossover below the zero line, but the red histogram has just begun to shrink, indicating a bearish exhaustion and a weak rebound rather than a reversal. The RSI at 12.24 is extremely oversold with a strong need for a correction, but without volume support. The levels at 2190 and 2135 are high-pressure zones with a high likelihood of a rally failure and subsequent pullback.
A weak rebound with strong selling pressure; a rally without volume is a shorting signal.
Trading strategy: If resistance near 2170 holds, consider shorting directly; if broken, watch for p

High leverage ≠ high profits, it's high fees + high wear and tear! With 100x leverage, trading fees and funding rates are all calculated on the amplified position size. If you hold the position for over 4 hours, frequent deductions can slowly drain your capital. High leverage is only suitable for short-term scalping—take profits and exit immediately, never hold on stubbornly.

Federal Reserve Chair Powell delivered remarks following the interest rate decision meeting. According to an article published by Chain News, the Federal Reserve announced it would maintain the federal funds rate target range at 3.5% to 3.75%. Powell emphasized that monetary policy has no predetermined path and will maintain significant flexibility going forward to respond to economic changes.

Wall Street is now split into two camps: One side sees oil prices breaking $100 and inflation picking up, cutting rate-cut expectations from two cuts down to one, pushing action to December. The other side is Morgan Stanley, refusing to change course: first cut in June, another in September.
Who's right? Morgan Stanley's Chief Economist Gapen has solid logic: Oil prices at $90-100, the economy can handle it. If it really can't, you'd need $125-150 sustained for a while, which would actually require the Fed to step in with a rescue.
The key indicator is the 1-year inflation swap rate, currently

ETH Binary Choice! Push to 2500-2800, or smash down to 2200 to liquidate $2.8B?
Folks, the order book is showing its hand!
The strong resistance zone at 2300-2350 has been completely wiped out. Now we're looking at two scenarios:
1️⃣ Rally Scenario: Continue pushing higher to create a 2500-2800 short-term peak, trap retail traders buying the highs, then harvest them.
2️⃣ Liquidation Scenario: Play both sides, reverse and smash down to around 2200, trigger $2.8B in long liquidations, and wipe out the bullish positions below in one sweep.