BitunderstandResearchI

Friday coincides with Good Friday and the weekend market being closed.
The chart is consolidating sideways, moving flat with extremely small fluctuations.
Market attention is focused on the U.S. stock market opening on Monday next week.
Last night, the non-farm payroll and unemployment rate data were released.
The non-farm payroll data is strong overall and tends to be bearish.
It directly shattered the market’s expectation of rate cuts.
A rate cut in June is basically out of the question.
The fact that high interest rates will stay elevated for longer has become established.
H

The average return for BTC in April over the past 10 years is +12.8%.
Out of those, 7 years ended with gains: April 2013 +45%, April 2019 +28%, April 2021 +3.5%, and April 2024 -15% (a rare month of halving).
This April, it started at 68,426 and dropped 22% in Q1.
Historically, BTC has never declined more than 15% for two consecutive quarters.
Either it rebounds or rewrites history.
Which do you choose?

Actually, Trump doesn't care whether the market will crash or not. What he cares about is only two things:
First, whether he still has the ability to manipulate the market (and profit from it);
Second, the midterm elections, which determine whether he will face retaliation afterward.
When an American president starts to act shamelessly, there's not much anyone can do about him in the short term.

Iran has announced plans to fully blockade the Strait of Hormuz. BTC has fallen below 70k but has now rebounded to 70k. 65,000 is the key strong support level for this rebound. It is both the previous starting point of the rally and an area with concentrated institutional holdings. If this wave can hold the support, there will still be a good rebound. Personally, I believe the overall trend will experience another decline before reaching the bottom. It all depends on when the 65k support level is broken. The current market rhythm remains within a range-bound consolidation. Trading suggestions:

Who experienced the "Crude Oil Treasure" incident back then?
US crude oil futures dropped to a penny, and someone bought ten thousand yuan worth.
They thought: worst case scenario, I lose ten thousand yuan, just dabble a bit, a little entertainment.
Who knew that half an hour later
crude oil futures plummeted, and they owed 40 million yuan.
Many people don't understand it, so let me break it down:
At that time the price was a penny,
ten thousand yuan could buy one million barrels.
Later the price dropped to -40.
At this point there were two options:
1. Wait a few days for crude oil delivery, y

BTC rebound is a high-altitude opportunity
76,000 is a strong resistance zone for chip pressure
BTC reserves increased from 2.72 million to 2.75 million since mid-January
Whales continue transferring to exchanges
Intention to crash is obvious
If it breaks below the 60,000 USD psychological level
It will trigger programmatic trading leverage liquidations and ETF redemption stampedes
Price may directly test 40,000-50,000
US PCE inflation reached 3.0%
Rate cut expectations reduced from 6 cuts at year-start to only 1 cut
Some institutions are even discussing rate hikes
Expect bear market bottom to

BTC should not be hastily judged as retesting bottoms before a secondary top structure emerges and key support breaks.
Major players have invested substantial costs in controlling and pushing prices higher, but if the Nasdaq continues to weaken and capital continues to drain, the selling pressure on the market will increase significantly.
At the same time, pay attention to the oscillation rhythm over Saturday and Sunday.
Currently, the market is in a shock and game stage.
When trading, avoid extreme emotional reactions—don't shout about a major bull market return every time it rises, and don't

Most of the time, going long and going short aren't games of right or wrong, but games of probability. You've learned to row, read the compass, and handle the sails, but the sea always has wind and waves.
An excellent captain isn't one who never encounters storms, but one who knows when to reef the sails, when to change course, and even which waters should never be entered at all.
No one returns fully laden from every voyage, but the captains who survive always find opportunity in the next tide.
Always believe in yourself.

Risk assets are very likely to continue crashing this month
Even liquidity tightening could cause gold to collapse
So, continue to be bullish on crude oil
Bearish on BTC

Ten thousand USD as principal
If you can maintain a 100% annual return,
It will only take 4 years to reach A7, the 7th year A8, and by the 11th year, you will arrive at A9.
Currently, many people who have been in the financial investment circle for years
Not to mention the majority,
How many people truly have pure cash flow exceeding A7?
And how many have actually reached A8?
Many of the glamorous people you see are survivors' bias; most people don't have the mood or the place to express their voice.
Losses are the biggest silencer in the trading market.
True compound interest is about maintai

BTC Monthly Line 5 Consecutive Down Days
It's the first time in history
Unable to go up or down, the consolidation has lasted so long
Should we see a rebound in March?
Buy the dip with a long position and catch a rebound
Don't miss out on a full house

Being able to hold is a skill; being able to take it away is a winner.
Last night, I was chatting with an old friend.
He recently rebounded and shorted from tens of thousands to over 3 million.
Then he decisively withdrew 2 million.
Without hesitation, he returned to his hometown and bought a house outright for his family, and kept the rest in a fixed deposit for his wife.
He kept 1 million inside the exchange.
According to him,
That 1 million is just profit betting; losing doesn’t hurt, winning is just icing on the cake.
In this “cannibalistic” battlefield,
Many people haven

The BTC market has recently been fluctuating between 60,000 and 70,000, digesting the sharp decline from 126,000 to 60,000.
On a larger scale, the trend remains bearish.
The longer Bitcoin stays suppressed, the weaker the rebound will be.
Breaking out of the consolidation range means a headshot and a sharp decline.
In a bear market cycle, each rebound's high will be significantly lower than the previous one.
In the short term, it's very difficult for the market to reverse completely.
If there's a short-term rebound to around 70,000, consider taking profits in stages.

Bitcoin is currently falling to this extent
Shareholders of Bitcoin holding companies are starting to lose patience
The US stock Bitcoin reserve company Empery Digital
Recently not only faces a new low in stock price
Even shareholders are demanding the board of directors resign
Immediately sell all the Bitcoin previously accumulated by the company
And request that the proceeds from the sale be returned to shareholders
Although these companies already feel the pressure there
But I personally believe that one of the signs of the bottom
Requires even more despair
Waiting until the market is silen