Child

March 4, 2026
These days I've been exploring new things, specifically analyzing the behavior of major players through data. Starting from the actual market movements, I delve deeply into the flow of funds behind the data. In my opinion, this approach is logically feasible. Of course, many people might study candlestick charts. From a deeper perspective, candlesticks are also indicators that reflect fund flow, but they are a secondary processing of data, with more obvious lag. Moreover, since candlestick charts are very mature, major players can manipulate the market by "drawing" candlesticks t

March 3, 2026
In terms of market trends, recently it has been sideways, with Bitcoin fluctuating wildly above $60,000, and Ethereum hovering around $2,000. For the overall bear market rhythm, if this level cannot hold, it will definitely break below again. But as I always say, in my opinion, there is a high probability that this level will form a temporary bottom, and based on experience, as the fluctuation time continues,

February 28, 2026
The United States has once again taken action against Iran, with Israel and the U.S. military launching an operation codenamed "Judas Shield." Multiple explosions occurred in Tehran, the capital of Iran. Although the U.S. had issued ample warnings about this military action, it is expected that financial markets and commodity markets will experience intense price volatility. Today is Saturday, and the U.S. stock market has not yet opened. From the sharp decline in the crypto market, it’s clear that the impact of this military operation on the U.S. stock market is unavoidable.

February 27, 2026
After a slight rebound, the market has entered a sideways consolidation phase. Currently, Bitcoin is above 67,000, and Ethereum is temporarily above $2,000. The market trend is not strong; the recent decline does not yet constitute a double bottom, so the expectation is for continued sideways movement. However, I have a hunch that the market has entered a strong support zone. After sufficient shakeout, there is a chance for a rebound rally. Although it cannot reverse the bear market trend, a rebound followed by a deep bear is more in line with the current market rhythm.
Recen

February 25, 2026
The market has rebounded slightly again. Bitcoin rose from 62,500, and Ethereum just touched $1,800. In terms of price, it seems to complete a secondary bottoming process, but this rebound is relatively weak, not resembling the start of a rally. Therefore, it is expected that there will still be a period of stagnation. Actually, from the market sentiment, it’s already on the brink of despair. Even if prices drop again, it’s unlikely to attract much more capital. Currently, the main players are probably going to continue with frequent fluctuations and prolonged sideways tradin

February 24, 2026
The eighth day of the lunar calendar marks the resumption of work and good luck in starting up. The crypto market has also reopened, but not to pump prices, rather to initiate a new round of dumping. Currently, the decline in mainstream assets is understandable; Bitcoin is heading towards 60,000 USD, and Ethereum is continuously approaching its previous low of 1750 USD. Based on my previous analysis, this is a secondary retest on the daily chart. Removing the holiday休息时间, this timing is also quite reasonable. As for whether a successful secondary retest can lead to a small re

February 23, 2026
Tomorrow marks the official start of work on the eighth day of the Lunar New Year. Starting today, I will resume my regular daily updates. First, I want to apologize. During this year's Spring Festival holiday, I attended many banquets and events back home. Plus, the market itself didn't have significant fluctuations, so I didn't say much. Today, the market suddenly dipped a bit, breaking the sideways trend from the Spring Festival. The most likely reason is related to Wu Jihan's liquidation; his mining group sold all their holdings of Bitcoin, and he stated he would maintain

Return to the base tomorrow, and start the normal daily update schedule from the seventh.

February 19, 2026
The recent market has been quite uneventful. Ethereum remains oscillating around the 2000 mark. The Spring Festival market has seen little fluctuation, which is understandable—after all, it's the holiday season, and most businesses are on break. According to previous predictions, there should be a small wave of market activity next, starting with a rebound, which makes more sense logically.
Since the market isn't very active right now, during the New Year, I haven't heard much talk about cryptocurrencies in conversations. There are some discussions about stocks, but even with

Brothers, I went to pay New Year's visits today and didn't make any updates. The market hasn't been particularly active either. I’ve been a bit lazy during this Spring Festival holiday.

Today is the first day of the Lunar New Year, continuing to rest.

Today I am taking a day off to rest and will be driving on the highway all day.

February 7, 2026, I have some things to deal with today. I was originally thinking of taking a day off, but the market rebound is worth mentioning, so I’ll briefly talk about it now. This rebound is actually expected; it’s just that falling to this level so quickly clearly indicates overselling. In a situation of severe liquidity shortage, no one can predict when the market will bottom out. But as I’ve said, as long as you’re confident that the current price is undervalued, then go ahead and buy boldly. At worst, be prepared to hold long-term.
Actually, whether you dare to buy or can hold dep

Big pancake and Ethereum are acceptable, but counterfeit versions are really hard to judge.

In the more than 10 years since the emergence of cryptocurrency on February 3, 2026, there have been countless stories of sudden wealth. As a result, many people think that making money is a normal thing, but the reality is quite different. Even with this cycle's multi-fold gains in Bitcoin, achieving this steady return is not easy. The seemingly continuous upward trend is actually riddled with bumps, and before the main upward wave, there is a painful and long period of dormancy. Recently, everyone has been mentioning a saying: instead of struggling through the crazy wave of cryptocurrencies,

On February 2, 2026, after a significant decline, the market continued downward. My psychological support level for Bitcoin is 70,000, and Ethereum remains at $2000. During the previous sideways trading phase, I believed there was a high probability of a rebound or even a second high point, which would be the best opportunity for us to sell. However, looking at the current situation, even with sharp declines, the probability of a short-term trend reversal to the upside is very low.
The upcoming trend mainly has two major risk points. The first is Bitcoin's four-year cycle. From a timing persp