Trader "Peacemaker" Invests $99.6K in Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire Bets on Polymarket

Polymarket Trading Volume Analysis Reveals Nearly Half May Be Inauthentic Activity

Gate News bot message, new analysis reveals that nearly 50% of Polymarket's trading volume may be inauthentic. Out of $337 million in daily volume, 28% ($94.7 million) comes from airdrop farmers trading in stagnant markets that remain below 2% or above 98% for over 36 hours to inflate wallet statist

The White House will review the new proposed market measures put forward by the US CFTC

Odaily Planet Daily reports that according to market sources: The White House will review the new proposed market measures put forward by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).

An insider wallet suspected to be linked to the US-Iran conflict invested $3,000 to predict that the Iranian regime will fall before March 31.

Odaily Planet Daily reports that according to Lookonchain monitoring, an insider wallet suspected to be related to the US-Iran conflict, after three days of silence, invested $3,000 to predict that the Iranian regime would fall before March 31. The wallet was created on February 28 and had only made two prediction transactions before, both of which were successful, with a profit of $16,000.

Analysis: Bitcoin bullish sentiment heats up, with $80,000 potentially becoming the next target for this rebound.

Bitcoin rose 5.21% on Wednesday, breaking above the upper trendline of the "bearish flag" pattern, with a price of approximately $71,900. Analysts believe that $80,000 could be the next target, and if it does not encounter selling pressure at $74,000, the probability will increase to 40%.

WBC kicks off! The first on-chain prediction is out: the Chinese team is favored with a 65% chance to beat Australia, Polymarket trading volume exceeds one million dollars

The 2026 World Baseball Classic officially kicks off tomorrow, with the Chinese Taipei team facing Australia in their first game. Prediction markets on Polymarket and BC.Game are clearly optimistic about Taiwan securing a winning start. Trading volume for WBC-related contracts has exceeded $1.4 million, with Japan leading the Pool C group with an 87% probability of winning the championship. (Previous context: Why are the odds so different between Taiwan Sports Lottery and blockchain Web3?) (Additional background: BC.GAME's 2025: A Year of Leadership in the Crypto Gaming Arena) The World Baseball Classic (WBC) will officially begin tomorrow (3/5) at Tokyo Dome, with Chinese Taipei facing Australia in their first game. Head coach Zeng Haoju announced that the ace pitcher from Japan, "Fireball" Xu Ruoxi, will start the game, aiming for a strong opening; Australia has also fielded former Major League pitcher Alex

ETF Frenzy for Capital Inflow, Strong Bearish Momentum in Futures: Bitcoin Surges Past $69,000, Can the Short-term Rebound Continue?

Despite ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, the cryptocurrency market has demonstrated remarkable resilience, with Bitcoin breaking through $69,000 today (4) and approaching the $70,000 mark again. Market analysis indicates that this rally is less about investors' "bullish confidence" returning and more about a technical rebound driven by "short covering." Crypto market maker Enflux pointed out that the market has neither fully priced in the disaster nor placed optimistic bets on a resolution. Last weekend, shorts capitalized on news of Middle Eastern military conflicts, causing Bitcoin to drop to $63,000. However, once the market realized that the situation was not escalating into a full-scale regional war affecting global trade routes, the long-suppressed short positions were quickly hunted down, triggering a short squeeze. Enflux described in its report that the reaction speed of crypto assets to geopolitical shocks far exceeds that of traditional assets: When gunfire erupts or sanctions are imposed