
Over the past week, approximately 472 million XRP (with a market value of about $650 million) flowed into exchanges, marking the largest weekly exchange inflow for XRP this month and breaking the long-standing trend of net outflows from exchanges over the past few months. On-chain analyst Darkfost pointed out that surges in trading often reflect defensive sentiment—when uncertainty rises, traders prioritize liquidity to respond quickly if the situation worsens.
(Source: CryptoQuant)
Large token inflows into exchanges are often seen as a precursor to selling, but not always. Some funds may be used for hedging or short-term position management rather than outright market selling. However, the significance of this inflow lies in its breaking of XRP’s months-long net outflow trend. Previously, holders had been withdrawing XRP from exchanges into self-custody wallets, which was seen as confidence in long-term holding; now, the reverse flow suggests that some holders, amid current geopolitical uncertainties, are adopting a “ready to sell at any time” stance.
Weekly Exchange Inflow: About 472 million XRP, worth approximately $650 million
Qualitative Significance: The largest weekly exchange inflow for XRP this month
Trend Reversal: Breaks the months-long trend of continuous net outflows from XRP on exchanges
Background Trigger: US-Israel-Iran military conflicts have triggered widespread risk aversion, shifting funds into safe-haven assets like gold
Analyst View: Darkfost notes that such surges often reflect defensive rather than active selling decisions
(Source: TradingView)
From a technical perspective, XRP remains within a downtrend channel. The $1.30 level is the most critical support, having been tested multiple times with rebounds, indicating buyers are continuously defending this level.
If $1.30 support fails, the next target for accelerated decline is around $1.12, which is a more structurally significant demand zone. To reverse the trend, bulls need to reclaim the resistance at $1.50, a level that has been under long-term pressure. Breaking and holding above $1.50 would turn $1.61 into a genuine breakout point—success here could break the descending channel structure, with subsequent targets at $1.90 and potentially $2.20 if momentum continues.
In summary, XRP is still in a downtrend, but as long as the $1.30 support holds, the bottom structure remains intact, and short-term upside potential is not fully exhausted.
A significant inflow usually indicates holders preparing to sell, as only tokens on exchanges can be sold immediately. Additionally, this inflow breaks the months-long net outflow trend, signaling a shift in market sentiment—though it doesn’t necessarily trigger a large-scale sell-off right away.
$1.30 is the current critical support, having been tested multiple times with rebounds; if broken, the next target is around $1.12. Resistance levels above are $1.50 (a recent major resistance) and $1.61 (a breakout point that could trigger a change in the channel structure). If $1.61 is broken, targets move toward $1.90 and even $2.20.
Partly yes. US-Israel military actions against Iran have triggered widespread risk aversion, pressuring the overall crypto market, with funds shifting into safe-haven assets like gold. This macro uncertainty prompts some XRP holders to transfer assets to exchanges for quick response if the situation deteriorates.
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