The Federal Reserve has a 94.1% probability of maintaining interest rates unchanged in March

U.S. Senate Housing Bill Links Affordability Reforms With CBDC Restrictions

The U.S. Senate housing bill now includes a provision banning the Federal Reserve from issuing a retail CBDC until at least 2031, reflecting growing congressional interest in digital currency policy and potential impacts on financial technology strategies.

Arthur Hayes: The U.S. has fought Middle Eastern wars for 40 years, and every time they cut interest rates. Don't expect an exception this time either.

Author: Arthur Hayes Compiled by: Deep Tide TechFlow Introduction: The core argument of Hayes's article is simple: from the Gulf War in 1990 to the War on Terror in 2001, every U.S.-led Middle East war has been followed by the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates. He believes that the Iran war in 2026 will repeat this same historical logic, and that will be the time to increase Bitcoin holdings. The viewpoint is clear and logical; you don't have to agree after reading, but it's worth serious consideration. Full text below: (All opinions in this article are solely the author's personal views and do not constitute investment advice or recommendations to participate in investment transactions.) Under the instruction of Donald J. Trump, the U.S. President known for his preference for peace, the U.S. Department of Defense has jointly launched an offensive Agent AI weapon—a deadly, entirely new

U.S. 303-page Housing Bill Hidden CBDC Ban, White House Endorses

The "21st Century Housing Roadmap Act" proposed by the U.S. Senate includes a provision that bans the Federal Reserve from issuing Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDC), with the ban remaining in effect until 2030. The bill aims to reduce housing costs and support the development of private stablecoins. The White House has expressed support for the bill, emphasizing that preventing CBDC development is a current policy priority. Bipartisan lawmakers have reached a consensus on this issue, making it a cooperative clause that can transcend party divisions.

CLARITY Act deadline passed in March; stablecoin yield controversy hinders legislation

The deadline for the White House's stablecoin legislation CLARITY has passed, but progress has stalled due to the crypto and banking industries failing to reach a consensus on stablecoin yields. The banking sector is concerned about outflows of customer funds and strongly opposes stablecoin reward arrangements. If legislation cannot be enacted in the future, it could trigger market uncertainty and impact the inflow of crypto funds.

Cracking down on 71% of illegal gambling! The UK Gambling Commission is considering using crypto payments to bring black market activities back into the compliant system

The UK Gambling Commission plans to explore crypto payments to combat illegal gambling activities and promote digital transformation. The commission is working with the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) to implement a compliance framework by 2027, requiring operators to adhere to strict eligibility testing. This move aims to improve market efficiency, crack down on black markets, and protect consumers, establishing a safe and legal gambling environment.

The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in March is 97.5%

ChainCatcher reports that, according to Jintiao, CME "Federal Reserve Watch" shows a 2.5% probability that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points by March, and a 97.5% probability of holding rates steady. By April, the probability of a total 25 basis point cut is 16.3%, with an 83.4% chance of no change, and a 0.4% chance of a total 50 basis point cut. By June, the probability of a total 25 basis point cut is 40.3%.