Prediction Market

According to BlockBeats, on July 18, Polymarket lowered the probability of the CLARITY Act passing by year-end 2026 to 32%, marking a historic low since the prediction market launched in January. The odds have dropped approximately 30 percentage points

According to Reuters, France's betting regulator ANJ has demanded internet service providers block the prediction market platform Polymarket, citing illegal betting services and concerns over significant user losses and potential market manipulation. Polymarket will remain blocked until it

According to the House Financial Services Committee, a House panel held a New York field hearing on the CLARITY Act and crypto market structure, but prediction-market odds on the bill's passage have weakened, signaling reduced confidence among traders. The core challenge remains translating broad p

UDX, operating as Underdog's newly acquired exchange, self-certified seven sports event-contract templates with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission on July 15. The filings stated the exchange intended to list the first contracts for trading no later than July 17. Underdog acquired Aristotle

According to the filing, UDX, an exchange recently acquired by Underdog, self-certified 7 sports event contract templates to the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on July 15, with plans to launch initial contracts by July 17. The templates comprise 3 baseball and 3 basketball contract

According to BlockBeats, France's financial regulator ANJ announced on July 17 that it will block access to Polymarket's website within France. The agency had previously prohibited financial transactions on the platform in November 2024. ANJ noted that despite the trading ban, access attempts from F

According to PPP prediction market monitor, a trader at address 0x2e25b222e2080c377fc1fb2b9f926315f0f4d49e placed a $297K bet on Spain to defeat Argentina in the 2026 FIFA World Cup final on Polymarket, ahead of the match scheduled for July 20 at 3 a.m. Beijing time in New York. The trader, who

The CLARITY Act, which defines whether digital assets fall under SEC or CFTC jurisdiction, faces two remaining floor vote windows before the August recess: the weeks of July 20 and July 27. According to Polymarket, current passage odds in 2026 are approximately 34% and falling. If both windows are m

According to data tracked by Artemis, Kalshi recorded $217.98 million in daily crypto-event-contract volume on July 15, setting an all-time high and marking a roughly 44-fold increase from $5 million in early January. The CFTC-regulated platform, integrated with brokerages including Robinhood and

According to CoinGecko and institutional surveys as of July 2026, Ethereum (ETH) trades at $1,576 on July 17, down roughly 46% year-to-date, while sell-side analysts remain sharply divided on the asset's path. Standard Chartered maintains an end-2026 institutional bull target of $7,500 (up 376%

According to PPP prediction market tool, account suntori purchased $100,000 in T1 to beat HLE futures on July 17 at 34.1¢ per share, amassing 309,035.8 shares. The account also holds $25,000 in HLE to beat T1 futures for Game 1 at 61.3¢, suggesting a mixed hedge strategy. The BO3 match begins at 7:0

On July 17, 2026, the gold market saw a landmark moment. According to Gate market data, gold XAU is currently quoted at $3,995, with the day’s low touching $3,970. This is the first time since November 2025 that gold has effectively closed below the $4,000 psychological level. Just half a year ago, gold was still hitting a historical peak of $5,598.75 on Jan. 29. From $5,600 down to below $4,000, a near 30% drawdown is uncommon in gold’s history. More importantly, this selloff occurred amid esca

According to Odaily, Polymarket traders raised the probability of the CLARITY Act being signed into law this year to 35% on July 17, up from a 24% low on July 13. Senate Republicans plan to release the final text of the CLARITY Act after meeting with President Donald Trump, with Senator Bernie

According to Odaily, 1win Markets has expanded its product offerings with new cryptocurrency prediction markets covering HYPE, Solana, XRP, and Dogecoin. The new markets include predictions on HYPE's price before year-end 2026, whether HYPE will exceed Solana's market cap by December 31, 2026, XRP's

Gabriel Perez, President Trump's teleprompter operator since 2016, allegedly won more than $100,000 on Kalshi prediction markets by betting on speech content he knew in advance, according to an ABC News report. The alleged betting activity occurred over a three-month stretch across more than a

According to ABC News, Gabriel Perez, President Trump's teleprompter operator since 2016, allegedly won more than $100,000 on Kalshi's prediction markets over a three-month period, prompting the White House to place him on unpaid administrative leave. Kalshi's surveillance team flagged and

According to PPP prediction market monitoring on Polymarket, a smart money wallet (0x1610db79f753a80207e1d66716be9e91e627ae49) with a track record of over $480K in profits purchased more than $60K in England winning the third-place match at an average entry price of 36 cents. France lost 0-2 to

According to CoinGecko's Q2 2026 report, cryptocurrency market capitalization declined 12.6% to $2.1 trillion by end of June. CEX spot trading volume fell 27.9% to $1.95 trillion, with May recording a monthly low of $620 billion. In contrast, prediction market nominal trading volume grew 48.7% to $1