U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield Hits 4.7% Overnight, Highest Since January 2025

According to Business Insider, the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield breached 4.7% overnight on July 23, marking its highest level since January 2025, while the 30-year yield surged to 5.18%, the highest since 2007. The surge was driven by renewed Middle East tensions and inflation concerns. Brent crude oil reclaimed the $100-per-barrel level as Houthi militants claimed attacks on Saudi vessels, with both U.S. and Iran signaling further military actions. Art Hogan, chief market strategist at B. Riley Asset Management, stated that "U.S. Treasury yields will not decline unless oil prices fall," noting the 4.5% threshold as a psychological resistance level signaling serious inflation worries. Scott Bukta, bond strategy chief at BreanCapital, attributed the rise to rising oil prices, adding that if the Iran conflict persists and crude climbs further, 10-year yields could reach 4.6% to 4.8% by year-end.
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