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Bitcoin's Implied Volatility Hits Historic Low of 33%, Masking Event Risk This Week

Market Analysis

2026-07-21 05:46:46

BTC2.69%

According to HTX DeepThink analyst Chloe, Bitcoin's one-week implied volatility (IV) dropped to a historic low of 33% this week, with one-month IV at 34%. Data from Murphy shows both figures remain well below the 40% threshold historically associated with heightened market tension. Over the past year, similar low-IV environments have preceded significant price declines within approximately two weeks. BTC is currently trading around $65,000, up roughly 5% over the past seven days, as markets appear concentrated on continued consolidation.

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