Solana Unlikely to Hit $110 by May 2026 as Prediction Markets Show 3.4% Probability

According to prediction market data from Polymarket and CoinGecko, Solana has just a 3.4% probability of reaching $100 by the end of May 2026, making a move to $110 extremely unlikely. With SOL trading near $86, a 28% rally would be required to hit $110 within days, suggesting the consensus target is the $85–$95 range by month-end.

Solana spot ETFs have accumulated over $1 billion in assets under management since their February 2026 launch, but monthly inflows have declined for seven consecutive months, signaling cooling institutional demand. Polymarket prices $90 as highly likely to be touched at 100% probability, while assigning only 20% odds to SOL reaching $160 by year-end.