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Goldman Sachs Cuts U.S. Recession Risk to 15% From 25%, Expects No Fed Rate Hikes

2026-06-23 06:46:40

According to Goldman Sachs, the bank has lowered its U.S. recession risk forecast to 15% from 25% following the U.S.-Iran agreement and a significant decline in energy prices. The investment bank expects the Federal Reserve will not raise interest rates, citing moderate GDP growth projected around 2% and potential disinflation, despite recent hawkish signals from Fed Chair Kevin Warsh at his first FOMC meeting.

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In-Depth Analysis

U.S. bank predicts: the Fed will raise rates 3 times this year, and only cut rates in 2028

Market Whisper17h ago

Fed Holds Rates at 3.5%–3.75% as Warsh Prioritizes 2% Inflation Target

Lucas Bennett06-22 16:03

FOMC dot plot: March vs June—how will the market reprice after the number of rate cuts dropped from 12 to 9 hikes?

Gate Instant Trends06-22 07:57

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