Roundhill已遞交多隻“預測市場事件合約”選舉ETF申請

兩名 Kalshi 早期核心成立 5c(c) Capital，兩大預測市場執行長、a16z 創辦人參投

由兩名前 Kalshi 員工創立的 5c(c) Capital 正在籌集 3,500 萬美元的首期資金，專注投資預測市場相關基礎設施。多位行業重磅人物包括 Kalshi 和 Polymarket 的執行長以及 a16z 創辦人等均成為早期投資人。儘管預測市場面臨挑戰，該基金仍將其視為「世代級投資機會」。

Kalshi 早期員工籌建預測市場 VC 基金 5c(c) Capital，目標籌資 3500 萬美元

3月23日，Kalshi早期员工Adhi Rajaprabhakaran与Noah Zingler-Sternig正在为新风险投资基金5c(c) Capital筹集最多3500万美元，专注于预测市场初创企业。该基金计划在未来两年投资约20家公司，首次关闭将在一个月内完成。

Polymarket "crude oil reaches $90 by end of March" probability surges to 82%, intraday gain of 67%

Polymarket shows that the probability of crude oil reaching $90 by the end of March has risen to 82%, while the probability of reaching $100 has fallen to 36%. Trump mentioned that Iran may no longer develop nuclear weapons and the Strait of Hormuz could be managed by multiple parties, which could lead to oil price volatility. Market uncertainty about the Middle East situation has caused divergent expectations for oil prices.

Polymarket 更新市场诚信规则，明确禁止三类内幕交易与市场操纵行为

Polymarket于3月23日更新了其DeFi平台及美国交易所市场诚信规则，禁止内幕交易和欺诈行为，并建立了多层监控体系。违规者可能面临封号和罚款。

An address bet approximately $100,000 on "the US will not enter Iran before March 31"

Polymarket prediction events show that a new address purchased approximately $100,000 worth of "No" positions at 88.4¢, with current unrealized gains of about $70. This event is affected by the evolution of the US-Iran situation. As Trump delays military strikes, Iran denies negotiations, and the regional situation remains uncertain.