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Regarding the current market outlook, it is overall in a consolidation phase, and at least another 2 months or so.
The bottom is formed through grinding, and looking at the previous bull and bear transitions, the bottom of $BTC has generally taken about 2-4 months.
Currently, I believe BTC is between 64,000 and 70,000. I recommend shorting on rallies and going long on dips.
However, I hold a relatively small position in BTC, and most altcoins tend to follow BTC.
When going long, I look for high-quality coins such as $aave and $hype .
When shorting, I look for trash coins such as $strk and $
View OriginalThe bottom is formed through grinding, and looking at the previous bull and bear transitions, the bottom of $BTC has generally taken about 2-4 months.
Currently, I believe BTC is between 64,000 and 70,000. I recommend shorting on rallies and going long on dips.
However, I hold a relatively small position in BTC, and most altcoins tend to follow BTC.
When going long, I look for high-quality coins such as $aave and $hype .
When shorting, I look for trash coins such as $strk and $
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Let's take a look at the recent data from $OPN @opinionlabsxyz.
First, the conclusion:
Don't consider shorting at open because of high control + good background.
Start long-term shorting about a week later, for some reasons below 👇.
🤡 Weekly user numbers show a visibly declining trend.
🤡 Daily trading volume and daily contracts are even more negligible, almost invisible now.
What will TGE look like after a week? You can probably guess.
If you're unsure, check out Aster's data.
After TGE, due to the anticipation of airdrops, trading volume remains quite high.
Later, it drop
View OriginalFirst, the conclusion:
Don't consider shorting at open because of high control + good background.
Start long-term shorting about a week later, for some reasons below 👇.
🤡 Weekly user numbers show a visibly declining trend.
🤡 Daily trading volume and daily contracts are even more negligible, almost invisible now.
What will TGE look like after a week? You can probably guess.
If you're unsure, check out Aster's data.
After TGE, due to the anticipation of airdrops, trading volume remains quite high.
Later, it drop
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Passion should be used to ignite your own career, not to illuminate others' ledgers.
Good night 😴
View OriginalGood night 😴
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$pinpin No wonder it's a demon coin
Always moving against the market
View OriginalAlways moving against the market
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Didn't expect to see the bleak market situation starting with 5 for BTC again. Bear markets are the perfect time to refine products. During a bull market, it's not about who is free this year, but who will become restless tomorrow. Now that the market is worse, such situations won't happen anymore. Just focus on refining yourself and your products, aiming to catch the next wave of market movement. By the way: it's another day to recharge faith~
BTC7,5%
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Today, I discussed the risks and safety of Web3 with people around me and came to an important conclusion: always maintain【reverse thinking】and【independent thinking】. Often, what you see is what others want you to see. Looking at announcements like the country's 2017 ban on ICOs, the 2013 joint meeting of thirteen departments, or crackdowns on virtual currencies in other years, how should we think in a reverse manner? On the surface, these announcements seem to be “for your own good” or “to prevent you from losing money,” which makes some sense and can indeed help many newcomers avoid losing m
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I just finished reading an article about Doubao mobile phones, and the core idea is roughly:
It has significant implications for the times, but it is unlikely to follow the path of "Huawei's Wenjie."
To be honest, I generally agree.
It's not hard to understand why Doubao has become so popular this time.
For the first time, AI has been pulled from the app layer to the system layer, and many people are experiencing for the first time that "so this is how a phone can be used." The instant sell-out during pre-sales and the premium on second-hand sales are essentially the result of a combin
View OriginalIt has significant implications for the times, but it is unlikely to follow the path of "Huawei's Wenjie."
To be honest, I generally agree.
It's not hard to understand why Doubao has become so popular this time.
For the first time, AI has been pulled from the app layer to the system layer, and many people are experiencing for the first time that "so this is how a phone can be used." The instant sell-out during pre-sales and the premium on second-hand sales are essentially the result of a combin
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Here are some key takeaways from Zhang Peng's interview with Luo Yonghao:
(1) When starting a business or developing a product, focus on survival first, then talk about ideals.
If you’re working on a high-difficulty project, consider having a "quick-cash but not against your values" side job or product (be careful not to affect your main task).
(2) True experts restrain their own talents.
Oftentimes, it’s not about "playing to your strengths," but learning when to put your sword away in situations where sharpness is not needed.
(3) If you’re creating content, treat it as a "long-term asset" in
View Original(1) When starting a business or developing a product, focus on survival first, then talk about ideals.
If you’re working on a high-difficulty project, consider having a "quick-cash but not against your values" side job or product (be careful not to affect your main task).
(2) True experts restrain their own talents.
Oftentimes, it’s not about "playing to your strengths," but learning when to put your sword away in situations where sharpness is not needed.
(3) If you’re creating content, treat it as a "long-term asset" in
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I've always used Figma for product design and can clearly feel Figma’s innovation and power. This morning, I read a related article by founder @zoink and wrote down some insights to record here👇
[One-sentence summary of the article]
After Figma’s IPO, founder Dylan Field deeply analyzes how the company built a tasteful design platform through unique culture, a multi-product strategy, and AI integration. He also predicts the future of product development and the designer’s role in the AI era.
----------------------------------------------------------
[Insights for startups]
1. Don’t develop “b
View Original[One-sentence summary of the article]
After Figma’s IPO, founder Dylan Field deeply analyzes how the company built a tasteful design platform through unique culture, a multi-product strategy, and AI integration. He also predicts the future of product development and the designer’s role in the AI era.
----------------------------------------------------------
[Insights for startups]
1. Don’t develop “b
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Many people are still asking: "Should I learn programming?"
But the times have changed the question: Can you command AI to write code?
This is what is now called Vibe Coding: Atmosphere Programming.
You chat normally with AI, and it helps you turn your ideas into a runnable product.
You have upgraded from a "keyboard-tapping coder" to a "talking product manager" and a "decision-making architect."
The ancients said: "A gentleman is not different from others; he makes good use of things."
Those who can leverage tools are the truly smart people. AI is the most powerful "thing" of this generation.
View OriginalBut the times have changed the question: Can you command AI to write code?
This is what is now called Vibe Coding: Atmosphere Programming.
You chat normally with AI, and it helps you turn your ideas into a runnable product.
You have upgraded from a "keyboard-tapping coder" to a "talking product manager" and a "decision-making architect."
The ancients said: "A gentleman is not different from others; he makes good use of things."
Those who can leverage tools are the truly smart people. AI is the most powerful "thing" of this generation.
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My current assessment of the prediction market is that it's similar to the early stages of the Memecoin market.
Tools are not yet widespread, smart money isn't everywhere, and there is always arbitrage potential. Retail investors can still make easy money.
After playing for a few days with @Polymarket, making predictions for $btc $eth $sol $xrp 15 minutes and 1 hour,
I started with a small trial, trading from $200 up to nearly $600, but was wiped out in the last minute by a whale manipulator.
So I decided to start with small funds and gradually play, summarizing different scenarios and testin
View OriginalTools are not yet widespread, smart money isn't everywhere, and there is always arbitrage potential. Retail investors can still make easy money.
After playing for a few days with @Polymarket, making predictions for $btc $eth $sol $xrp 15 minutes and 1 hour,
I started with a small trial, trading from $200 up to nearly $600, but was wiped out in the last minute by a whale manipulator.
So I decided to start with small funds and gradually play, summarizing different scenarios and testin
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Investment Memorandum - Why You Need Market Maker Thinking
In this illiquid market, retail investors are like a flock of sheep. We cannot be sheep, nor can we be blind attacking wolves; instead, we should be the jackals behind the market maker tiger.
The market is always right, but the crowd is always wrong. Our task is to find the moment when the crowd makes a mistake and then stand on the opposite side of them.
The cryptocurrency market is a carefully designed hunting ground. If we do not understand the traps, layouts, and rules of this hunting ground, we can only become the little white rab
View OriginalIn this illiquid market, retail investors are like a flock of sheep. We cannot be sheep, nor can we be blind attacking wolves; instead, we should be the jackals behind the market maker tiger.
The market is always right, but the crowd is always wrong. Our task is to find the moment when the crowd makes a mistake and then stand on the opposite side of them.
The cryptocurrency market is a carefully designed hunting ground. If we do not understand the traps, layouts, and rules of this hunting ground, we can only become the little white rab
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I browsed the Poly market before going to bed and saw a prediction of how many posts Musk will make before 12 o'clock noon tomorrow.
Bought the NO at 1080 and the NO at 1120, probably around 10-40 points.
I did a simple calculation, currently there are 1008 entries, and we are still 72 entries short of reaching 1080.
In 8 hours, the number of shares will reach 1080, which means that Musk has to post 9 times every hour, averaging more than 6 minutes per post.
The possibility is still quite small, let alone 1120.
I also asked Grok, and the answer was pretty much impossible.
View OriginalBought the NO at 1080 and the NO at 1120, probably around 10-40 points.
I did a simple calculation, currently there are 1008 entries, and we are still 72 entries short of reaching 1080.
In 8 hours, the number of shares will reach 1080, which means that Musk has to post 9 times every hour, averaging more than 6 minutes per post.
The possibility is still quite small, let alone 1120.
I also asked Grok, and the answer was pretty much impossible.
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Bought some at the position of 0.8 $CDL
$AOP will soon no longer have 4x points, this transaction volume of over 6 billion needs to find the next target to trade.
$CDL The pool is 1.6 million USD, which is still acceptable.
The market cap is only 16.1m, and $CDL is the third token by trading volume today, besides $AOP $NUMI .
I originally thought $BTG would be the next volume player, the trading volume the day before yesterday was still double that of $CDL , but unexpectedly it has been surpassed in the past two days.
Betting that $CDL is the next target for volume, let's first look a
View Original$AOP will soon no longer have 4x points, this transaction volume of over 6 billion needs to find the next target to trade.
$CDL The pool is 1.6 million USD, which is still acceptable.
The market cap is only 16.1m, and $CDL is the third token by trading volume today, besides $AOP $NUMI .
I originally thought $BTG would be the next volume player, the trading volume the day before yesterday was still double that of $CDL , but unexpectedly it has been surpassed in the past two days.
Betting that $CDL is the next target for volume, let's first look a
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Suona BSC and SOL battle
Still a bit promising, the callback of BSC, it feels like it won't just be like this on time.
Bought a little, already trapped, let's see tomorrow if it goes to zero or takes off.
Still a bit promising, the callback of BSC, it feels like it won't just be like this on time.
Bought a little, already trapped, let's see tomorrow if it goes to zero or takes off.
SOL7,29%
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