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🧠 An easy-to-understand short-selling structure—Three steps
Step 1: Confirm the decline first: it's not just a feeling of falling, but the structure is declining. How to see? Higher highs are getting lower, and lower lows are also getting lower, indicating that the bears have taken control of the direction.
⚠️ If the price is still oscillating back and forth, do not short.
Step 2: Wait for a rebound, do not chase the fall. After a decline, the price will definitely rebound. Where to focus? When the price rebounds to the previous break level, this level was support before, now it has become re

📊 Cryptocurrency Market · Today’s Observation (January 8)
I. Market Structure
BTC: Entering a correction phase
Altcoins: Generally retreating, risk appetite declining
US Stocks: Maintaining volatility, no clear direction given
Macro Supplement
The People's Bank of China continues to increase gold holdings
Current gold reserves account for about 9.5%
International mainstream central banks’ reference range is about 15%
➡️ Medium to long-term still reflects a preference for safe-haven assets
II. Market Hotspot Tracking
1️⃣ Binance Launchpad｜Chinese Meme: Life (RenSheng)
Binance’s first Chinese M

[爱心] Cryptocurrency Market Today’s Observation—January 7
1. Overall Market Trend
BTC continues to fluctuate, with altcoins moving in sync, and capital remains cautious.
MSCI has decided not to exclude crypto treasury companies from the index for now, providing emotional support for related concepts.
Morgan Stanley has submitted an application for a SOL trust product, boosting institutional expectations for Solana.
The US stock market continues to rise, with the storage chip sector surging;
Gold and silver are approaching new highs for the phase, with safe-haven and inflation hedging expectatio

🧠"Cryptocurrency Market · Core Variable Observation | 01.06"
1. Direction Variables | Macro and Policy — Is the Trend Changing?
Status: Neutral leaning bullish (not broken)
The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in January is 81.7%, with a 43.2% chance of a cumulative 25bp rate cut in March.
Multiple voting members signal that there is still room for rate cuts within the year.
The Bank of Japan and major global economies are simultaneously entering the tail end of tightening / structural shift phase.
🔎 Variable Conclusion:
Liquidity expectations remain intact, the

The market has rebounded and is pointing upward, but it hasn't been fully confirmed yet. The potential space is temporarily visible.

🎯Why trade and not guess ups and downs
In 2025, the market has repeatedly proven one thing:
The more "big shot consensus," the easier it is to be slapped in the face by reality.
Tom Lee (Bitmine)
Predicts ETH will reach $15,000 by the end of the year, currently only $2,939
Michael Saylor (Strategy)
Judges BTC will reach $150,000 by the end of the year, current price about $87,728
Ray Dalio (Bridgewater)
Warns that AI stocks are in a huge bubble, while Nvidia's stock has already risen over 30% this year
Harry Dent (Wall Street big short)
Declares that gold will inevitably crash, yet gold has g