TimelessBeing

First time testing the rolling 90 since October Last year
Breach this zone then the 365 is on the cards
That is literally the Major inflection point in market where we go from neutral range to off the top of our lungs unconditionally bullish
You get a weekly close through the 90 then the 365 is coming very quick
You get multiple weekly closes above the 365 then new aths are almost certain imo
Failure to sustain momentum, range lows in the low 80s are next
#BTC

As mentioned previous VAH was a key inflection point confluent with developing M vwap
This is the only chart ive been watching
Here we are at the big bad boss as we hit an untested Vwap cluster from November (akin to N POC)
Going forward: this is the region you want to see a consolidation for a break to 102s
No closes below 93 k or this is/was a fakeout within confides of a multi month range
#BTC

Privacy narrative still strong
Similar look to precious metal breaks
Multi year consolidation
Don't look to fade first pump out of this sort of compression
Best play around the cloud (see green)
This has more juice in it imo
$XMR

Some thoughts
Subject to change as always
I see many people who are quick to warn of precious metal top
If you look at various metrics, adjust for inflation and just look at some ratios you can see this could be further from the truth
I think 2026 will be a stock pickers market, I think there is durable runway in the precious metal debasment thesis
I think AI wil face some headwinds (chinese saturation of LLMS, questions over circular investment etc.)
I think you want to stay well clear of the Mag 10 and make concentrated bets on nascent industries that are likely to catch a bid (follow fl

Previous Month VAH is still sticky pivot confluent with developing Monthly VWAP
This area here as I type this is the most important zone for continuation flip
Previous Monthly VWAP below must hold (break below it likely leads to a larger move into the 87s)
#BTC

Eventually one side of the book is going to be overwhelmed and that is the moment we will see a stronger momentum based move
For now, and for the past 2 months it has paid off to simply fade the directional move at key pivots when the books get skewed in one direction
#BTC

Generally speaking there a few coins worth having on the watchlist
$PENGU is one of them
Been a strong performer over the past few weeks
Back inside previous qaurter value
Will seem some chop but pretty sure we run 0.02 in due course
Looking constructive

#BTC trading below November monthly vwap which will be confirmation trigger for continuation break
Previous Month VAH in the 91200s is super critical to hold if we are to see a sustained trend
Failure and closure back below implies a range bound market with plenty of targets to exploit

Things are starting to look very promising again
We are still strapped in
$BONK

Happy new year
We are back in the pit
I have not looked at a chart in what feels like a lifetime
Will take a bit of time to get back into it, but I am treating it as a rebirth reset moment
Had a lot of time to reflect on 2025 (what I did well, what I did not do well)
All of that is chalked to dust now
My only concern is next trade
Interesting Juncture here for #BTC
I suspect we revisit the rolling 365 within the first 90 days of trade this year
Have a good week and may this year bring everything you want from these markets

Pretty much as anticipated
Monthly levels are still very clean and capping price as we continue to range and compress
Techincially below Monthly vwap implies market wants lower in the interim
We ran some juicy lows and stops which was my prognosis
Now onus on bulls to carry from here
Below 87k then I think this sets up for a larger compression break down towards last month lows
Not anticipating anything material (no major breaks or deviations below range lows tbh)
Happy trading
#BTC

Tough year if you held spot as we basically roundtripped everything
But this last period here has actually been a range paradise
Be thankful for the volatility
I remember trading 2018 and it was literally sickening dribble for a year straight
Was honestly the worst period to trade but that was where I got my battle scars
Say thank you for this
Nothing worse than a low vol. regime
At least you can eat here
#BTC

Really clean rotations
That blue line we are hovering on now is basically the short term bullish line in sand for bias
We break it 87s is next
Only set up is taking continuation breakdown shorts
Or looking for a push and stab into the developing monthly value area low and looking for some form of reclaim (absorption, big delta bucket puke)
Below 87 k we smashing the yearly lows again
Above the current LIS (where we reside now) we likely break to the 96 k region - confirmation of this would be easy acceptance above 92 k
You should be good to go longing the momentum in that scenario
Easy

BEARS ARE FUCKED

$PENGU finally coming into Quarter value
Been a trying few months for alt coins in general but one thing is certain this one has staying power
I like the look on it here and wont be surprised to see it have a monster rally very soon
Pack the bags
We are about to move

Nice set of poor highs at 96 k to aim for
But we also have some thin regions below since ydays violent mark up
I think it is safe to presume market likely pauses for a bit before making another attempt higher
Don't get chopped in between and chose location wisely
89s again would be a solid re-entry point imo
#BTC

Time horizon
Trade frequency
And overall opportunity cost need to be factored into the system
FWIW I de-risked my longs from Monday into this pop not because I am inherently bearish or skeptical
But there is a time factor to be accounted for commitment to tape for me
I got a 6000+ pt move in very quick succession
Now can see orderbook dynamics have flipped again which means likely more grindy style pa till the next move
Ultimately think we see 98s but we just had an exhaustive move from top to bottom and back again so if you haven't taken profits, might behoove u to do so
#BTC

What a beautiful set up here we have
When this catches a bid it will remain obvious in hindsight
$BONK is coiling here
Soon™

Last 18 months of BTC order books tell a clear story.
• White box: pure ambiguity. Bid–ask ratios whipsawed and price chopped in a downward channel until the market priced in a Trump win and broke out.
• Purple box: a neat distribution phase.
• Green box: reaccumulation. Equities’ Liberation Day lows lined up with strong bid-side skew and BTC outperformance.
• Red box: one large distribution zone. On-chain confirms heavy OG selling, which explains this year’s underperformance and the sharp fade from 120k as entities front-ran obvious target of 150k.
But the current structure is different.
We a

You can call it cope or whatever
But let's be objective
If the yearly candle was to close as is would it be characteristic of anything aside from an inside bar within context of a good few years?
Every single downturn has been characterized by larger trending move down
Perhaps this is clear indication of change in tone
More range bound pa, less expansive
Hardly looks like the previous tops/turning points
1 more month to see
But just putting this out there
#BTC