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BlackRock recently deposited large amounts of crypto assets into the compliance platform Prime Wallet, including 3,743 Bitcoins and 7,204 Ethereum, reflecting traditional financial giants' ongoing interest and布局 in the crypto market. The frequent entry of institutional investors is seen as a signal of market sentiment.

Recently, investment banks have reversed their expectations of interest rate cuts, with JPMorgan delaying the rate cut to Q3 2027 due to strong US employment data. Leading investment banks are also adjusting their forecasts, causing the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates at the January meeting to surge to 95%. For the crypto market, CPI data is about to be released, and the market is focusing on Bitcoin's trend.

【币界】有趣的经济悖论出现了。美国失业率虽然维持低位，看起来挺健康的数字，但从舆情来看，不少人对接下来的就业形势都挺担心的。这种预期差其实很值得关注——低失业率与就业焦虑并存，反映出民众对经济前景的真实忧虑。这种情绪转变往往会传导到资本市场，影响投资者的风险偏好和资产配置决策。

The independence of the Federal Reserve has become a hot topic in the market. Chief Economist Jan Hatzius stated that despite facing pressure, Powell will still adhere to data-driven decision-making. This is significant for market participants, as policy stability will influence global asset allocation and market volatility. The key is whether economic fundamentals can dominate policy decisions.

Institutional investor Michael Saylor denies that Bitcoin is a speculative bubble, believing it has become a global store of wealth with a stable market position. At the same time, he points out Bitcoin's strong defensive capabilities and genuine computational power support, reflecting that traditional financial institutions are re-evaluating Bitcoin's asset attributes, shifting from risk investment to a necessary allocation.

A short-term trader's recent performance has attracted attention. Although they cut losses of $103,000 on January 12, they did not remain cautious and continued to leverage. Currently, they are experiencing both unrealized gains and losses, with an overall poor performance. In one month, they lost $1,766,700, with total losses reaching $8,429,300, highlighting the significant risks of short-term trading.

A leading exchange has launched a copy trading feature that connects experienced traders with ordinary users. Traders publish strategies and set profit sharing, while users can copy strategies with one click to enjoy automated trading without complex operations. Real-time transparent profit distribution lowers the barrier to participation.

Goldman Sachs has adjusted its forecast for Federal Reserve rate cuts, expecting a 25 basis point cut in June and September this year, and lowering the federal funds rate target to 3%-3.25% by the end of 2026. At the same time, the probability of a recession has decreased from 30% to 20%. This change could impact capital flows in the crypto market and the valuation of risk assets.

Monitoring data shows that on January 12th, the whale address with the largest short position in BTC closed a long position in kPEPE, earning $9,335, with an unrealized profit of $4.6 million. The strategic change of this address has attracted attention, as it previously accumulated $120 million in short positions on a certain platform and is now gradually adjusting its holdings.

An active address named "Strategy Counterparty" increased its long positions today, with a total position exceeding $300 million, and opened a new PEPE long position while holding a large amount of ZEC. The address shifted from a short to a long, with a 24-hour floating profit of $5.62 million. The cumulative profit and loss has doubled, indicating that market participants are recognizing changes in the market trend.

A seasoned whale took profit of 93,992.7 FARTCOIN today but still holds over 11.65 million with 10x leverage, indicating confidence in the market. This action reflects a strategy of locking in gains while maintaining a bullish outlook.

Recent DOGE price movements show a downward trend. Although there was a slight increase in the morning, the overall price has retreated. An increase in trading volume accompanied by a price decline indicates growing selling pressure. Technical indicators such as MACD and KDJ show weakening bullish momentum, and RSI dropping below 30 may signal a rebound. Key buy and sell levels and stop-loss points should be monitored, and trading should be cautious.

A member of the U.S. House Financial Services Committee made their first investment in Bitcoin, amounting to between $50,000 and $100,000, and has currently realized gains. This move has attracted attention because the timing of the purchase coincides with ongoing cryptocurrency legislation review, raising concerns about potential conflicts of interest. Policymakers' personal investments and their scope of authority should be approached with caution.

An Ethereum whale accumulated 101,000 ETH at an average price of $660 five years ago. Recently, they transferred the remaining 26,000 ETH (worth $80.88 million) to a major exchange, signaling a complete sell-off. This move has netted them a profit of $269 million, quadrupling their investment. Market dynamics have sparked discussions about their bearish outlook and intention to lock in gains.

The crypto market continues to fluctuate, with Bitcoin around $90,740, Ethereum at $3,112, and the total market capitalization at $3.185 trillion. Chinese Meme tokens still dominate the market, with some tokens experiencing significant volatility. Altcoins have also risen, and the market shows a divided trend.

On-chain data shows that on January 11th, a large transfer of 20 million POL tokens occurred from an address related to the Polygon ecosystem project party, valued at approximately $3.5 million. This move involves exchanges and market makers, potentially affecting liquidity and market dynamics, demonstrating the advantages of blockchain transparency.

At the beginning of 2025, the mixing protocol attracted over 690,000 ETH, with a total fund size of approximately $2.5 billion, of which the net inflow reached $1.4 billion. ETH is the primary inflow asset, reflecting market participants' preferences. Mixing services have become an important part of the DeFi ecosystem due to privacy and asset management needs.

The head of growth at BNB Chain shared their views on meme culture, emphasizing participation with an entertainment mindset and the pursuit of authentic grassroots culture. She stated that she does not participate in token sales to maintain fairness, highlighting the community's understanding and healthy ecosystem development.

The Japanese Financial Services Agency plans to reclassify cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin as financial products in April 2026, reducing the tax rate on crypto asset gains to a fixed 20%. This will enhance investors' purchasing power and is expected to attract more individual and institutional investors to Bitcoin. Additionally, the reform will impact some institutions like Metaplanet, with policy details still being finalized.