Scient

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GM ☕️ FAM
Hoping the market doesn’t make a April fools move today.
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$HYPE (1W)
Printing a massive bull trap with that SFP above the highs.
I expect some chop above $30–$31 in the short term, but overall, this looks like a distribution on LTFs
The next move from here is likely a move back to the $20 lows over the coming months.
From there, we probably range for the rest of the year.
Don’t get trapped chasing strength into HTF rejection.
#HYPE #HYPEUSDT
HYPE-3,61%
SFP-1,26%
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$ETH 12H
Took a short at the underside retest of the diagonal + horizontal S/R.
Clean level. Clear invalidation.
Bids: $2100 – $2150
As long as we’re below this zone → I expect continuation to new lows.
Break above the box, and the idea flips. Invalidation triggers a long toward $2750 – $2800.
High RR setup either way around a key S/R. Let's see.
#ETH #ETHUSDT
ETH-3,45%
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Lions_Lionishvip:
EXCLUSIVE LATEST COIN & MARKET UPDATES on GATE SQUARE ✅ FOLLOW ME NOW 🔥💰💵
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While I’m macro bearish on $BTC.D (1M / 3M), LTFs are telling a different story right now.
As long as we’re holding the daily support (green box) → structure remains bullish.
A move into the red box resistance in the coming days/weeks is likely.
But...Lose the green box… and the script flips.
That’s when you start seeing sustained strength in $ETH and alts.
Until then, I am interested in front-running the rotation.
BTC-1,68%
ETH-3,45%
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$ETH has spent nearly 4 years trying to find balance in the $2100–$2250 region (red box).
Every interaction with this level has led to aggressive reactions, either to the upside or downside, which clearly defines it as a high importance zone.
• Right now, price is trading below this range and consolidating under it after losing it as support in Feb, now treating it as resistance.
As long as the price remains below this zone while being in a macro downtrend, the PA remains weak.
No strength → no bottom.
Don’t look for reversals until the market starts showing acceptance back above key levels.
ETH-3,45%
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$DXY One of the most important charts for global risk.
Right now, it’s at a key inflection point.
We’re trading just below the monthly S/R → acting as resistance,
while finding support at the multi-year channel lows.
Compression building here.
As a bull, you want to see this:
• Rejection from the red zone
• Loss of channel support over time
That opens the door for a risk-on environment
(liquidity expansion/printer dynamics)
But if we break back above and reclaim the red zone as support:
That’s a problem.
Tighter liquidity conditions → pressure on risk assets →
harder environment for upside.
(E
BTC-1,68%
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$BTC — Understanding Market Structure Using Fair Value
This chart simplifies everything.
Price revolves around fair value —the balanced price where buyers and sellers agree, where price trades efficiently with two-sided participation.
Think of it as the auction zone.
No urgency. Just acceptance.
From the previous cycle, we have two clean fair value ranges:
• $25k – $30k
• $55k – $72k
These are the zones where the market has built the most acceptance.
Once price establishes fair value, it looks for direction.
It becomes a bidding process:
If buyers continue accepting higher prices → expansion u
BTC-1,68%
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$BTC — Understanding Market Structure Using Fair Value
This chart simplifies everything.
Price revolves around fair value —
the balanced price where buyers and sellers agree,
where price trades efficiently with two-sided participation.
Think of it as the auction zone.
No urgency. Just acceptance.
From the previous cycle, we have two clean fair value ranges:
• $25k – $30k
• $55k – $72k
These are the zones where the market has built the most acceptance.
Once price establishes fair value, it looks for direction.
It becomes a bidding process:
If buyers continue accepting higher prices → expansion
BTC-1,68%
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The earliest sign of a $BTC bottom will be a clean breakout of the macro downtrend that started at $126k.
As long as price is trading below that trend,
expect shallow bounces and endless chop.
No need to overthink it —
Trend defines the environment.
#BTC #BTCUSDT
BTC-1,68%
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GateUser-a0fb0743vip:
good
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This is the most confusing phase of the cycle when both bulls and bears abuse you in the comments.
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$BTC local bounce is already losing steam.
Low $66ks for a scalp bounce if boomers send it lower.
BTC-1,68%
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GateUser-1e3d7789vip:
snd jd also belongs to the genus Onthophagus and the family Bombyliidae
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$TOTAL2 suggests to me that we are close, but $ETH and Altcoins still have some more pain to go before things start turning bullish again.
• Clean 5-wave structure in play.
• 1–2–3–4 done. Wave 5 still pending.
Right now we’re sitting at macro RLs + weekly demand.
Been here ~8 weeks with no meaningful reaction.
That’s not strength.
Below the range lows, there’s still untouched liquidity sitting in the monthly breaker zone.
Which means one thing —This is still not a bottom.
Not in terms of price, not in terms of time.
Either:
• We get a proper capitulation → sweep below RLs into that liquidity
ETH-3,45%
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$AAVE (request)
Similar to a lot of alts, this has been stuck in a range for the past couple of years.
Most of the market has already swept its 10/10 lows, and this looks like it’s heading for a similar move.
Below, we’ve got a strong confluence zone — weekly demand + the 2022 accumulation range — sitting in the $90–$45 region.
That’s the area I’m interested in.
Ideally, I’d like to see price spend some time here, form a proper base, and go through a clean accumulation phase over a few months.
Best case, we bottom somewhere around the $55.
No rush to jump in early. Let it come into value, let
AAVE-4,32%
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$CRV is one of my favorite coins to hold going into a bullish season.
On the macro, this looks like a classic AMD setup, with the manipulation phase likely unfolding over the coming months.
We’re currently sitting right at a key weekly liquidity + demand zone around the 10/10 lows.
Wouldn’t be surprised to see a local bounce from here.
But if we don’t get that reaction, I’d much rather be patient and let the price come lower into deeper discounts.
Ideally, I’d love to get long bids filled around the $0.10 region and below.
No need to chase let the manipulation play out, and position where the
CRV-6,46%
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$LTC (request) looks absolutely terrible on the macro, yet I keep seeing big accounts post moon charts on it.
Reality is, this thing has done nothing but range for 8+ years, since the 2017 top. It has looked like one big macro bear flag for the last 4 years and has been mostly just distributing.
From a bullish perspective, the structure is completely broken.
Personally, I have zero interest in touching it up here.
The only area that would get my attention is a proper sweep into the monthly FVG below, around the 2019 range lows in the $10–$20 region.
Other than that, I’m not interested in forci
LTC-4,18%
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GateUser-be94285avip:
ltc is the best. its the only investment coin like btc . u guys chase hope n garbage coins from trading point of view
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$LTC looks absolutely terrible on the macro, yet I keep seeing big accounts post moon charts on it.
Reality is, this thing has done nothing but range for 8+ years, since the 2017 top. It has looked like one big macro bear flag for the last 4 years and has been mostly just distributing.
From a bullish perspective, the structure is completely broken.
Personally, I have zero interest in touching it up here.
The only area that would get my attention is a proper sweep into the monthly FVG below, around the 2019 range lows in the $10–$20 region.
Other than that, I’m not interested in forcing convict
LTC-4,18%
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GM ☕️ fam
Enjoying the chop fest?
Euphoria seemed to died within 24 hours.
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Will be covering a bunch of Altcoins Macro charts today.
If you want any coin covered, comment below. Will post the charts I like.
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$BTC following the squiggle.
Unless $74k is flipped on 4h with a 1D close above it, PA remains choppy.
Shorting if we get a retest of $74k S/R.
#BTC #BTCUSDT
BTC-1,68%
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