JSBigShark

The market is determining its direction and cannot be predicted. If I were managing it, I would first test around 2050, and since today is Friday, it would cause many ETFs to panic and exit!

ETH's historical cycle shows higher probability of Friday selloffs than rallies. ETH is holding steady around 2143 today. 2050 is both a historical support level and the institutional average holding line from last year's Q2. As long as this level holds, ETH's logic for a recovery toward 2850 remains intact!
#ETH #BTC

Act cool! How lonely it is to be invincible😂
The pullback is here, wait patiently for the contract! At least until 2100
Don't mess with spot holdings, volatility has nothing to do with you, don't even consider selling unless it breaks below 6K

This round of decline has two basic scenarios:
One is a continuous downward trend, reaching around 1K, which is highly unlikely.
The other is a rebound around 1700,
which is now.
This year, due to the implementation of regulatory legislation,
there was also a very sharp decline,
and there is a high probability of another.
But before it actually takes effect,
there is often a rebound first.
This is market inertia
and emotional recovery.
The real test
comes after the rules are clarified.
Once the legislation is officially enforced,
centralized exchanges face
not just market trends,
but compliance pressures.
The future standard
will only align with Coinbase.
Capital markets require
transparency, auditing, custody, separation, and compliance reporting.
Those who do not meet the standards
must either rectify or exit.
At that time,
many altcoins
won't just decline,
but will lose trading scenarios.
Once liquidity disappears,
prices naturally drop to zero.
Centralized exchanges
will undergo a structural reshuffle.
Privacy coins,
under strict regulatory frameworks,
will face greater survival challenges.
This is not an emotional judgment,
but regulatory logic.
A bull market can be driven by liquidity,
but long-term sustainability
must rely on rules.

Act cool! How lonely it is to be invincible😂
The pullback is here, wait patiently for the contract! At least until 2100
Don't mess with spot holdings, volatility has nothing to do with you, don't even consider selling unless it breaks below 6K

There may be a technical correction! The overall trend reversal remains unchanged!

This round of decline has two basic scenarios:
One is a continuous downward trend, reaching around 1K, which is highly unlikely.
The other is a rebound around 1700,
which is now.
This year, due to the implementation of regulatory legislation,
there was also a very sharp decline,
and there is a high probability of another.
But before it actually takes effect,
there is often a rebound first.
This is market inertia
and emotional recovery.
The real test
comes after the rules are clarified.
Once the legislation is officially enforced,
centralized exchanges face
not just market trends,
but compliance pressures.
The future standard
will only align with Coinbase.
Capital markets require
transparency, auditing, custody, separation, and compliance reporting.
Those who do not meet the standards
must either rectify or exit.
At that time,
many altcoins
won't just decline,
but will lose trading scenarios.
Once liquidity disappears,
prices naturally drop to zero.
Centralized exchanges
will undergo a structural reshuffle.
Privacy coins,
under strict regulatory frameworks,
will face greater survival challenges.
This is not an emotional judgment,
but regulatory logic.
A bull market can be driven by liquidity,
but long-term sustainability
must rely on rules.

In previous live streams and posts
I have repeatedly mentioned one thing
2026 Year
First Quarter
There is a high probability of a peak
This peak
Will be very sharp
So sharp that many will believe
The bull market has arrived
The market has always been like this
First giving hope
Then giving lessons
After this peak
There is a high probability of a secondary drop
The real liquidation
Is not a fall
It’s a needle
That needle
Will likely land around
1410
Completing a secondary bottom
Cycles are never straight lines
They must clear out leverage
Emotions
And illusions
All of them thoroughly
The real market trend
Does not start when emotions are at their hottest
But after
Everyone has been shaken out
If the structure completes
After November
The market may usher in a
Legendary long bull run
At that time
The rise will not be a rebound
But a trend
Livermore once said
Big moves
Never give everyone an opportunity
They only reward
Those who stay in during the volatility
Without exiting