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GateUser-a37c7870

20h ago

🟠 Trump doubles down on Iran: oil back above $100, BTC slips
During Trump’s national address on the Iran war, the tape got a clean signal: risk up → oil up → BTC down. He said the US will hit Iran “extremely hard” over the next 2–3 weeks, and markets reacted instantly.
📊 Market reaction
— Oil jumped back above $100 (around $103.6)
— BTC dropped toward ~$66.9K, down about ~2% since the speech began
— The vibe: more escalation/uncertainty = higher energy risk premium and heavier pressure on risk assets
🧠 Why BTC moves like this
— Higher oil = higher inflation expectations
— Higher inflation =

BTC1,14%

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GateUser-a37c7870

21h ago

🟠 Fidelity: BTC drawdown is “less dramatic” this cycle — the market is maturing
Fidelity Digital Assets highlights a key shift: BTC’s peak-to-trough drawdown this cycle is around ~50%, far less than the ~80%–90% drawdowns seen historically. If this trend persists, Bitcoin is gradually moving away from extreme cycle volatility.
📊 Cycle numbers
— ATH ~$126K (Oct 6) → cycle low just above $60K (Feb 6): about −52%
— BTC is currently around −46% from the peak
— Last cycle comparison: $69K (2021) → ~$16K (Nov 2022): −77%
🧠 What it could mean
— “Diminishing returns”: each cycle becomes less extrem

BTC1,14%

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