BlackAndWhite123

# Earning Your First Million: You'll Discover
It's neither hard work nor staying up late grinding.
Even if you didn't sleep for 24 hours straight, you couldn't possibly earn a million through sheer exhaustion.
Ordinary people shouldn't study market trends or innovation. And don't believe any investment pitches.
You covet others' profits, while they covet your principal. You'll only go from poverty to debt.
The right answer isn't innovation—it's replication.
Replicate small businesses that have already been proven profitable, then add one lever—yourself.
Break it into three aggressive steps:
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The strongest gold and US stocks have been continuously declining these days, but the weakest Bitcoin has been rising for 8 consecutive days? What on earth is going on?

The later a bear market progresses, the harder it is to rebound, because market sentiment has become extremely pessimistic and incoming capital cannot keep up. Similarly, the later a bull market progresses, the harder it is to pull back, because market sentiment is already FOMO, with capital flowing in and no one selling. Currently, the market is in the late stages of a bear market. Those talking about bouncing up to 100k are talking nonsense; a bounce to 75,000 would already be pretty good. The bottom of this cycle should at least reach 50k.

This wave of market surge is primarily driven by Trump's statement about ceasefire and the upcoming opening of the Strait of Hormuz, but so far these are just empty promises. It feels like a pure tactic to suppress oil prices. Even if oil prices don't continue rising, the 90+ price level is still 50% higher than the pre-war price of 60, causing inflation to skyrocket and production costs to surge significantly. The probability of the U.S. entering a recession is increasing, and the subsequent market trend remains pessimistic.
From a short-term perspective, Big Bitcoin is oscillating within a s

# Translation
Currently, cryptocurrency prices are most heavily influenced by oil prices. Oil declines correspond with Bitcoin rises, and vice versa. Oil prices have now begun a counterattack, rebounding to nearly $100 today. Will they continue to rise? I personally think there's a high probability.
Because Iran really doesn't tolerate US behavior anymore. They've actually started laying mines in the Strait. Each mine only costs $2,000, achieving maximum returns at minimum cost. It looks like they have no intention of surrendering.
Even if the US stops on its own, Iran might continue to strang

BTC's current state is like leveraged tech stocks, still within a range of oscillation. If the war doesn't end and there's a rebound, it will be a short-term rally, but don't mistake it for a bull market.
If the US, Israel, and Iran escalate the war and the US deploys ground troops into Iran, US bond yields will soar, the dollar will weaken, and US stocks will crash.
Gold will surge due to the weakening of dollar confidence, and BTC's price will wait for a new cycle, also rising as dollar confidence collapses.
Since the market cap of US dollar stablecoins has already reached 310 billion,

The reason for the Korean stock market crash is that the conflict between the US and Iran caused oil prices to surge, which directly led to a sharp increase in the costs of Korean semiconductor and chemical factories. Korea is already a country highly dependent on imports from the Middle East. Coupled with foreign capital withdrawal from the stock market for risk aversion, this ultimately caused the Korean won to plummet and the stock market to collapse.
Looking at history, as long as a ceasefire is reached, Korea's stock market will definitely rebound strongly because of the urgent demand f

The US-Israel-Iran conflict has now escalated to the level of physical supply disruption.
Once the Strait of Hormuz is blocked, 30% of global maritime crude oil shipments will face re-pricing.
Supply ceiling: US shale oil production is struggling to increase, while OPEC+ remains committed to production cuts to stabilize the market.
Gold has already surged this round, and it's probably oil's turn now.

A second test is a high-probability event, not a bearish prediction, but a rational judgment based on historical patterns.
Key psychological levels are often broken through, just like 6000 in 2018 and 30,000 in 2022; it’s easier to find a bottom after breaking these levels.
Currently, the monthly chart has five consecutive down weeks, which is rare in history;
In March, it is highly likely to fluctuate around 60,000. If it closes lower again, the trend will become clearer.
The 60,000 level will repeatedly test the bottom and create a false sense of stabilization. When the market genera

Since DeepSeek launched last year, AI agents in the crypto space have basically become obsolete.
In the past two years, meme trading has surged, and the crypto world is increasingly resembling a pyramid scheme or cult.
After US stocks went on-chain, ➕ TraderFi listed on CEX—who's still involved in scams like fake versions? The only thing left of value in the crypto circle is BTC.
For those still dreaming of AI boosting altcoins, they may not realize: the real AI dividends have never been in exchanges.

The market crash has passed for some time, and with the New Year, it has just given the market enough time to digest the impact of the sharp decline.
From historical patterns, after a significant correction, the market usually undergoes about a one-month consolidation phase before entering the next stage of the trend.
The new round of market movement is most likely to arrive in early March, with the core trigger being the Federal Reserve's mid-March interest rate decision meeting. In the weeks before and after each meeting, the market has experienced intense volatility.
Current market expectat

Will Bitcoin go above $30,000?
As long as your perspective is only 26 months ahead, it doesn't really matter.
Using the BTC miner cost valuation model, after the halving in April 2028:
- Bottom valuation: 190,000
- Conservative valuation: 240,000
- Reasonable valuation: 380,000
- Bull market valuation: 570,000
Gold still has about 1.5% - 2% new mineral output annually.
And after the 2028 halving, BTC inflation rate will drop to 0.41%.
Bitcoin will become the most scarce asset in human history.

Currently, it feels a bit like the end of 2022.
People inside the industry are generally feeling down, even a bit hopeless.
But outside the industry, people are starting to show interest in entering the market.
Currently, Bitcoin has already been cut in half from its peak.
It may be cut in half again next.
But the further down it goes, the higher the long-term risk-to-reward ratio.
Anyway, I believe the crypto world will definitely usher in another glorious moment.

The main factors currently driving Bitcoin's rise are:
First, the expectation of interest rate cuts has been pushed back to March-April.
Second, positive progress in cryptocurrency legislation.
Apart from that, any rebounds related to news in the bear market environment are all paper tigers, such as the recent news of BlackRock announcing the purchase of UNI.