ThisNameIsn_tBad.

The current game between the US and Iran has become a core variable influencing the global economy and cryptocurrency prices. The US’s series of moves not only caused panic in Asian stock markets but also inadvertently helped itself by significantly easing the pressure of dollar depreciation and capital outflows.
The underlying logic here is quite clear. Trump’s rise to power represents the interests of traditional “old money,” and the Nasdaq bubble is now visibly bursting. Taking advantage of the conflict, capital has naturally shifted from tech stocks to traditional energy sectors, complet

Today’s Briefing
• Trump teams up with the CFTC to support prediction markets.
• Coinb approved to establish a national trust institution.
• Drift robbed of $285 million by North Korean hackers.
• Circle launches cirBTC to enter wrapped Bitcoin market.
• US crypto legislation delayed due to stablecoin yield regulations.
• Canada officially includes stablecoins under central bank regulation.
• Polymarket opens betting on US stocks and commodities.
• Coinb partners with Linux to promote payment standards.
• SoFi opens crypto settlement channels for institutions.
• Aave V4 launches to enhance cro

Trump's flip-flop! Market turbulence: oil prices surge, gold plummets, cryptocurrencies dive!
In just two days, Trump's statements have done a 180-degree turn, triggering a complete global market upheaval.
Last night: signals of "ending the war and withdrawing troops" were released, causing gold prices to soar (gold up 2.66%, silver up 6.16%), and risk aversion sentiment to heat up.
Today: suddenly changed tone, threatening "heavy strikes on Iran's energy facilities in the next two or three weeks," causing oil prices to spike sharply (WTI surpassing $103, up over 4%). Gold and silver also

Gate Square Daily | April 1
1️⃣ Market Trends: Gold briefly rose to $4,706, major European stock indices generally increased, market panic sentiment eased, and the volatility index (VIX) declined.
2️⃣ Crypto Market: Historical data shows that Bitcoin has never experienced six consecutive months of decline. In March this year, the return was approximately 1.62%, and market sentiment remains resilient.
3️⃣ Policy Updates: The first batch of compliant stablecoin licenses in Hong Kong may be delayed. The Hong Kong Monetary Authority responded that relevant work is still being actively pushed

Can the crypto world still survive? All coins are falling, dropping every day, with some losing hundreds or thousands of times their value, and some even being delisted entirely. When will the decline end? Forget about futures contracts; everyone has experienced a margin call. Spot investments are also losing value. It's really hard to make money in crypto; maybe it's better to just play it safe and do some manual labor.

Maximum Pressure! Trump: No Strait, Iran Will Close in Fire and War
"That is the world's most expensive 'rolling shutter,' and I hold the key."
Just now, the world's eyes are locked on the Strait of Hormuz. U.S. President Trump has once again wielded a "special" diplomatic hammer: he claims he is willing to end the ongoing Iran conflict in a suffocating blockade of the strait. But this is not an unconditional ceasefire; it is a high-stakes gamble with the fate of the nation.
One hand offers an olive branch, the other a powder keg
In his latest statement, Trump plays a "cold and hot" ga

Crypto Breakfast | March 30
Market News
1. Middle East Tensions Push Oil Prices Higher: The Iranian Revolutionary Guard claims the Strait of Hormuz has been closed. Coupled with other energy supply disruptions, international oil prices are trending upward. WTI crude oil closed up 7.85%, at $101.51 per barrel, returning to the $100 mark; Brent crude oil closed up 5.13%, at $106.38 per barrel.
2. Federal Reserve Personnel: Sources reveal that the Senate hearing for Federal Reserve Chair nominee Kevin Warsh is tentatively scheduled for the week of April 13.
3. U.S. Political Developments: U.S. me

Core Macro Event: U.S. Non-Farm Payroll Data for March
- Release Date: April 3rd (Friday) 20:30 (UTC+8)
- Impact: Non-farm payroll data is a key indicator for Federal Reserve monetary policy. The strength or weakness of the data will directly influence market expectations for interest rate cuts, thereby affecting the prices of stocks, cryptocurrencies, gold, and other assets.
- Special Reminder: The day is Good Friday, and both the U.S. stock market and Hong Kong stock exchange will be closed. Liquidity may be limited after the data release, so watch out for gap opening risks.
Crypto Market Un

The core to profitability in the crypto market is establishing a system of “high-confidence opportunity identification + strict risk control,” rather than relying on luck. The following is a validated framework:
1. Opportunity Screening: Focus on High-Probability Scenarios
a. Trend Following:
- Only participate in clear daily trend signals (e.g., price stabilizing above EMA50 + MACD red histogram continuously expanding for bullish trends, or vice versa for bearish trends), avoiding frequent trades in choppy markets.
- Example: When Bitcoin breaks above previous highs and weekly candles close p

How long will high oil prices last? Is it the smoke of the US-Iran conflict or the dusk of the US dollar oil system?
In the last week of March 2026, everywhere you look on your phone, people are queuing up to refuel. Why are everyone lining up to fill up? Will high oil prices continue? Let’s take a look:

1. Why did oil prices start to surge?

Strait of Hormuz: Once the choke point of global energy, about 20% of the world's oil consumption and 25% of liquefied natural gas exports passed through this Gulf country’s strait into the Indian Ocean daily. But with the escalation of the US-Iran con

# Let's Talk About Gold
Gold has fallen more than 24% from 5400 in late February this year to a low of 4098, with a sharp crash in late March (a record single-week decline). Now the price is recovering quickly, showing a "roller coaster" market. I mentioned during previous livestreams that whenever it breaks below the 5000 level, you can short freely. It bottomed at 4098—an extremely exaggerated decline for gold. Combined with the fact that people are still buying gold above 5000...
Many people don't understand the underlying logic. The main drivers of this rapid gold decline are:
1. **Federal

Today, Bitcoin has strongly broken through the $71,000 threshold.
This is not just a numerical jump. Just a week ago, when geopolitical clouds were heavy, Bitcoin was under pressure. As the situation in the Middle East eased and market risk appetite returned, capital flowed back like a tide, driving prices to recover lost ground within just a few days and boldly breaking through the historical high range.
More notably, top Wall Street broker Bernstein explicitly stated in its latest report that Bitcoin has likely reached a cyclical bottom and maintains a target price of $150,000 by the end of

Recently, a historic event occurred in global financial markets—gold prices encountered a "Waterloo" unseen in 63 years, recording the largest single-week decline since 1968. For many investors, this week has been both thrilling and thought-provoking.
In our traditional understanding, gold is a "safe haven," a "ballast stone" in times of turmoil. When the world is filled with uncertainty, people's first instinct is often to buy gold. But why this time, when everyone thought it was the moment gold should be held, did it fall so dramatically? Behind this lies an intense battle between expectatio

$BTC
📅 April Federal Reserve Rate Decision Window: The "Undercurrents" in Consensus
​Currently, CME interest rate swap pricing shows a 87.6% probability of maintaining rates unchanged in April, which should be a foregone conclusion of "holding steady."
However, what truly warrants vigilance is that 12.4% rate hike expectation — this probability has doubled since early month, reflecting deep market anxiety about "secondary inflation."
​Core Logic Analysis:
​Hard landing inflation concerns: Recent strength in energy prices and service sector resilience have blurred the return path of PCE data,

Historically, Bitcoin's daily chart has only experienced 5 instances of "8 consecutive up days."
1、Early 2013 bull market, BTC was still at a few hundred dollars. After the 8 consecutive up days, it continued to surge, directly rushing toward the thousand-dollar mark.
The sentiment back then was: poor people turning their fortunes around, if you miss it, wait another ten years.
2、2017 major bull market, one of the crazy phases. 8 consecutive up days were often just a fragment within a larger trend, then directly surged toward $20,000.
Social media was full of "all-in."
3、2020–2021 cycle, pande

#加密行情震荡 Bottom Not Yet Formed: Bitcoin Hovering Around $70,000 as Three New Signals Emerge
From the short-term chart perspective, Bitcoin is forming a similar technical pattern to March 6-8, when the price rebounded after a pullback. If it quickly reclaims $70,000, it could trigger a move toward $76,000, with the key turning point at $72,000. If it breaks below $68,300, it could potentially test $65,000 to $62,000. BTC may break through $60,000.
From the new high of $126,000 in October last year to the current fluctuations around $70,000, BTC's price has been like riding a roller coaster in j

This Week's Crypto Market Analysis#Gate13周年全球庆典
📊 Bitcoin is currently trading in the $70K range, striving to break through strong resistance near $75K. This level is serving as a key decision zone for the market.
🏛️ On the regulatory front, there is good news. Authorities like the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission have clarified that most major cryptocurrencies are not securities. This reduces uncertainty and sends a bullish signal to long-term investors.
📉 However, pressure remains in the short term due to high interest rates and macroec

#加密市场观察 Crypto Daily(03.19): SEC Clarifies BTC and 16 Other Assets as Digital Commodities; Geopolitical Conflict Suppresses Price but ETFs Continue Attracting Capital
I. Bitcoin Price Volatility and Contributing Factors (Geopolitics, Hash Rate, Institutional Capital, and Expectations)
1 Middle East conflict escalation triggers market risk-aversion sentiment. Bitcoin retreats from six-week highs, with other volatile crypto assets and related concept stocks declining in sync. Short-term holders cash out around $70,000, weakening upward momentum.
2 Middle East conflict pushes energy prices hig

Trends Are Not Technology, Trends Are Collective Emotion
Why do most people fail to profit from major market moves? The strangest thing about markets is this: during small moves, everyone is trading. During major moves, many people have already exited the market. I used to be the same way. When a move just started, I didn't dare go all-in. I always felt it hadn't been confirmed yet. Once the trend was established, I finally entered. Then came a pullback, and I got shaken out. Later the move continued, but I was no longer on the ride. That's when I finally understood: most people don't fail to

The traditional "altseason" may truly be over.
The core viewpoint can be summarized as: the market has transitioned from a "broad-based rally" phase to a "structural differentiation" phase dominated by institutions. This is mainly reflected in the following points:
Capital flows toward "mainstream" assets: As Bitcoin and Ethereum gain entry into traditional finance through tools like ETFs, institutional capital tends to allocate toward these proven "blue-chip" assets, as well as RWA (Real World Assets) tracks backed by physical assets. In contrast, altcoins lacking fundamental support are faci