It'sReallyVictory

Which trading stage do you belong to?
**Level One: Blind Betting**
Reckless all-in positions, chasing rallies and selling dips, obsessed with quick wealth, ignorant of "haste makes waste." Accounts fluctuate wildly, risk lurks constantly.
**Level Two: Fixated on Tactics**
Researching various technical indicators, obsessively searching for foolproof methods. Eventually realizing that markets have no absolutes, and technical analysis is merely a tool to improve probabilities.

Third Layer: Establishing a systematic approach
Abandon complicated theories and use simple rules to respond to the market. Learn to discern what to keep and what to discard; the initial trading framework takes shape, but execution is often affected by emotions.
Fourth Layer: Strict adherence to rules
Decisively take profits and cut losses; account fluctuations tend to stabilize. Although able to trade steadily, still contemplating the essence of trading and waiting for a breakthrough.

Level 5: Embracing Probability
Understand that profits and losses go hand in hand, and accept losses as the cost of profitability. Don't dwell on individual gains or losses; focus on accumulating stable returns over the long term.
Level 6: Trader-Market Harmony
Transcend technical analysis and understand the human nature underlying price fluctuations. Trading flows like natural breathing, opening and closing positions with ease and composure, becoming one with the market……

Why do you always "buy and then it drops, sell and it rises"?
It's not because you're unlucky, but because you haven't made enough trades.
In futures trading, there's a concept called the Law of Large Numbers:
After you complete 100 trades, your win rate will infinitely approach your true skill level;
When you only make 10 trades, everything is just random fluctuation.
So, true traders don't focus on the profit or loss of a single trade, but on the net value curve after 100 trades.

Continuous bearish signals, BTC is soon to test the support level of 60,000!

The 0.03% Law
Soros once introduced the 0.03% Law:
Among 10,000 futures traders:
1,000 people can correctly predict the market trend,
which means about one-tenth of the total can see the market correctly;
but among these 1,000 people who see the market correctly,
only 100 can actually make correct trades,
meaning they are willing to use their own money to place orders,
so overall, only 1% of the total can both see and trade the market correctly;

Out of these 100 people who correctly predicted the market and made the right moves,
how many ultimately made money?
Only 3, meaning that overall, only three in ten thousand are able to both predict correctly and execute correctly to finally make a profit.

Summary:
Out of 10,000 people, 1,000 predict the market correctly,
and among those 1,000, only 100 make correct trades,
but among these 100 successful traders, only 3 ultimately make money!
In other words, the final profit probability is only a mere 0.03%!

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Support points for ETH between 2440 and 2000: 2326, 2280, 2222/2202, 2136/2112, 2062/2050. These are all take-profit points for short positions. 2500 is the defensive boundary. Staying above 2000 and doing two short-term longs within 200 points is relatively safe.