握势船长

4.4 Midnight BTC/ETH Market Forecast and Analysis
Today, BTC experienced an extreme spike during trading, reaching a high of 67,350 and a low of 66,375, with a volatility of over 900 points; ETH also spiked, with a high of 2,082 and a low of 2,040.5, with a volatility of over 40 points. The battle between bulls and bears was intense, and the market showed clear signs of a shakeout. After the spike, prices quickly recovered. Currently, BTC is quoted at 66,856.5 and ETH at 2,048.73. The market is in a consolidation and correction phase, and tonight’s focus should be on the effectiveness of key s

4.3 Evening BTC/ETH Market Forecast and Analysis
Non-farm payrolls data unexpectedly exceeded expectations, directly breaking the market's optimistic outlook for Federal Reserve rate cuts. The dollar strengthened, and U.S. Treasury yields rose, fundamentally suppressing the valuation of cryptocurrencies, with funds accelerating out of high-risk assets.
In the short term, sentiment is dominated by bears: after the data release, the market immediately declined, completely undermining bullish confidence. All evening rebounds are merely technical corrections and unlikely to change the overall do

Non-farm vs. BTC Iron Law (Bloody Lesson)
✅ Better than expected (Hot): The dollar strengthens, and the probability of a short-term crash for BTC is very high
✅ Worse than expected (Weak): Rate cut expectations explode, BTC often shows V-shaped reversals
Statistics show:
• Strong Non-farm: BTC experiences intense volatility on the day, mostly initial selling pressure
• Weak Non-farm: Although sometimes it drops first, the probability of a rebound is higher afterward
Tonight's expectation is relatively weak, but the market fears "surprises" the most! #加密市场行情震荡 $BTC

BTC/ETH April 3 Afternoon Market Forecast and Analysis
In the early session, BTC faced resistance around 67,400 and pulled back, with the lowest dip reaching around 66,240. It then quickly rebounded and recovered, currently oscillating near 66,573. Overall, the trend shows a pattern of rising then falling, with a bottoming out and rebound. In the short term, 66,200-66,300 forms a stage support level, while 66,800-67,000 is the first resistance zone, and 67,400 is a strong resistance. ETH moves in sync with BTC, with the early high touching 2,073, then oscillating downward, with a low of 2,039.

4.3 Midnight BTC Market Forecast and Analysis
Today, BTC experienced a V-shaped reversal, with the intraday low reaching 65,676.1, followed by a sharp surge, with the highest touching 67,080.0. The current quote is 66,795.5. After a short-term oversold rebound, the bullish momentum is concentrated and then enters a high-level consolidation.
- Key Support Levels: First support at 66,500 (a critical point for the intraday rebound), strong support at 66,000 (the starting platform of this rally, a break below signals the end of the rebound trend), extreme support at 65,500 (the low point of this V

April 3rd ETH Midnight Forecast and Analysis
ETH moves in sync with BTC, forming a V-shaped reversal. The intraday low was 2015.41, and the high reached 2071.09. The current quote is 2055.43. The rebound amplitude is highly correlated with BTC, showing strong linkage. Currently, it is in a high-level consolidation phase after the rebound.
- Key Support Levels: First support at 2040 (lower boundary of intraday oscillation center), strong support at 2020 (the starting point of this rebound, a break below would invalidate the rebound), extreme support at 2000 (the lowest point of this V-shaped re

On April 2nd, Nasdaq futures fell over 2%, with the US stock market broadly weakening. Global risk appetite sharply cooled, putting direct pressure on cryptocurrencies like BTC and ETH. Meanwhile, a whale opened a new $13.3 million BTC short position with 40x leverage, further amplifying bearish sentiment. Coupled with the escalation of US-Iran tensions boosting inflation expectations, short-term downward pressure on the crypto market has intensified.
In terms of strategy, bulls should be cautious of pullbacks and avoid chasing highs; bears can consider phased positions, strictly control posit

4.2BTC/ETH Evening Market Forecast and Analysis
- BTC: The morning saw a sharp decline from the high of 68,639.1, with a lowest point of 66,171.8, a drop of over 2,400 points; in the afternoon, it oscillated and recovered within the 66,200-66,900 range, but weakened again at the end of the session. Currently quoted at 66,373.5, it still maintains a deep downward trend for the day.
- ETH: Following BTC's sharp drop, it fell from a high of 2,158.42 to 2,037.23 in the morning, a decline of over 120 points; in the afternoon, it traded narrowly between 2,040-2,060, with very weak rebound strength,

4.2 Afternoon BTC/ETH Forecast and Analysis
Current Reference Prices: BTC 67,150 / ETH 2,092
Main reasons for the morning plunge:
1. US-Iran geopolitical conflict (biggest negative factor) - Trump’s speech at 9 a.m. today: claimed victory in Iran operations, plans to withdraw troops in 2-3 weeks, but reserves the right to strike at any time.
- Iran denies seeking peace, firmly refuses to open the Strait of Hormuz, and the conflict has not substantially eased.
- Market panic: unresolved war risks lead to capital sell-offs in cryptocurrencies and other risk assets, triggering a morning plunge.
2

April 2 Midnight BTC/ETH Market Forecast and Analysis
1. BTC
Today, BTC continued its oscillating rebound trend, with the intraday low reaching 67,883.7 and the high touching 69,288.0. The current quote is 68,797.6, completing a V-shaped reversal overall, rebounding nearly 900 points from the intraday low. Bullish momentum is strongly released, and the short-term trend has shifted from weak to strong.
Bullish:
- The price successfully recovers the key zone of 68,500-68,800, stabilizing above it and opening further upside space. The resistance level above moves up to 69,300-69,500. If broken, i

The non-farm payroll data has been released: 62,000 jobs added. It’s lower than the previous figure but higher than expectations—neither hot nor cold.
In front of the tinderbox that is the Strait of Hormuz, an employment figure indeed seems a bit “light.” But since it’s out, let’s take a quick look—what if it’s a foreshadowing of some major change coming later?
The 62,000 number is fewer than last month’s, but it didn’t crash. The message it sends is: the job market hasn’t been pulled off the cliff by the war—much better than a free fall, at least giving some breathing room.
But we can’t say d

April 1 Evening BTC/ETH Forecast and Analysis
Today’s market shows a pattern of probing lows, rallying, and then consolidating at high levels: BTC initially dipped to 67,534.9 and then surged strongly, reaching an intraday high of 69,288.0 in the afternoon. It then faced resistance and pulled back, currently quoted at 68,562.4. The short-term bullish momentum has clearly been exhausted, entering a high-level battle phase. ETH followed the trend, probing a low of 2,081.19 in the morning, rising to a high of 2,157.99 before pulling back. The current price is 2,133.79, showing stronger elasticity

April 1st Midday BTC/ETH Market Forecast and Analysis
1. BTC Market Analysis
Market Review
In the morning session, BTC continued to fluctuate within a wide range, with a low of around 67,357 before strongly rebounding. It is now above 68,100, with intraday volatility exceeding 700 points, perfectly matching the previous high-probability buy low/sell high zone, maximizing both bullish and bearish profit potential.
Key Technical Aspects
- Critical Support: 67,500-67,800 (morning rebound zone; if broken, expect a move down to 67,000)
- Critical Resistance: 68,300-68,500 (previous high point; if b

April 1st Financial Key Data and Events
1. March ADP Employment Change (20:15)
As a non-farm payrolls ahead indicator, the strength or weakness of this data directly determines rate cut expectations. If employment exceeds expectations and is strong, it will reinforce the Federal Reserve’s stance of “higher interest rates for longer,” leading to a stronger dollar, rising U.S. Treasury yields, capital outflows from the crypto market, and downward pressure on BTC and ETH; if the data is weak, it will reinforce expectations of a rate cut mid-year, increase liquidity easing expectations, and trigge

4.1 Midnight BTC/ETH Market Forecast and Analysis
1. BTC
Core Trend Review
On March 31, BTC experienced a wide-range fluctuation, with the intraday low reaching 65,938 and the high hitting 68,377. It closed strongly higher, currently quoted at 67,534.4, completing a V-shaped reversal. Bullish momentum was concentrated at the close.
✅ Bullish Logic
1. Increased volume at the close pushed the price above the key resistance of 67,500. Short-term bullish sentiment is fully activated. The first target above is 68,000-68,500. The previous high at 68,377 is a strong resistance; breaking through could

3.31 Evening BTC/ETH Market Forecast and Analysis
The evening market is likely to continue the oversold correction and range-bound consolidation pattern. A trend reversal for the bulls is unlikely, and bears still have pressure. Overall, focus on high sell and low buy, strictly control positions to avoid chasing rallies and selling at lows.
BTC Market Analysis and Forecast
(1) Key Technical Signals
Based on the current candlestick trend, the key trading range for BTC tonight is 66,500-68,500. Short-term fluctuations are likely to revolve around this range.
- Support levels: 66,000 below is nea

3.31 Afternoon BTC and ETH Forecast and Analysis
The afternoon market immediately delivered a heavy blow! BTC dropped sharply from the morning high of 68,377, breaking below 66,800, currently quoted at 66,857, with a maximum intraday pullback of over 1,500 points; ETH also declined in tandem, plunging from a high of 2,091.88 to below 2,035, currently at 2,041.44, with a maximum drop of over 50 points. Both coins have fully entered a correction channel.
1. Core Market Breakdown
BTC
- Key Levels:
Strong Resistance Above: 68,000-68,300 (morning high, dense area of trapped orders)
Support Below: 6

Trump suddenly softens! The Iran conflict may come to an end, and billions of dollars are shifting in the crypto world. Retail investors are at a life-and-death crossroads!
Breaking news! U.S. media reports that Trump is willing to end the Iran war even if the Strait of Hormuz remains closed! This is not just ordinary news; it's a major geopolitical earthquake that directly impacts our crypto circle. A storm is brewing right in front of us!
Listen to what I, Captain, say: this situation has enormous implications! If tensions ease, it means global risk aversion will decrease. Hot money that was