招财锦宝

The non-farm payrolls significantly exceeding expectations will actually suppress rate cut expectations, which is a short- to medium-term bearish factor for cryptocurrencies.
So now the market is in a divergence zone: on one side, there may be a short-term rally driven by sentiment, while on the other side, macroeconomic pricing pressures could lead to a pullback.
Plus, with the US stock market closed today and liquidity being relatively thin, weekend trading is more likely to amplify volatility.
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Ethereum price remains within the current range, with resistance levels limiting upward potential
Despite strong on-chain growth, the trading price of Ethereum (ETH) remains within a specific range between the $1,807 support level and the $2,371 resistance level.
The price has tested the $2,371 resistance level multiple times but has failed to break through and establish a foothold. This keeps the price structure in a contraction phase, limiting upward movement.

The stock market over there just gave up, with US stock futures down 0.5%, and Asia-Pacific markets also declined. The US Treasury yield soared to 4.35%, are funds moving into safe-haven assets? Don't worry, gold actually fell, breaking below $4,700 and dropping over 2%.
This is interesting — traditional safe havens aren't rising, funds aren't flowing into gold, nor are they fully entering the stock market.

The Iran-U.S. situation experienced a dramatic turnaround within 48 hours, shifting from "on the brink of war" to "signals of a ceasefire," triggering intense volatility in global markets. On April 1, Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi sent a clear signal that he is "ready to end the war but hopes to obtain guarantees," prompting the White House to immediately announce that President Trump will deliver a nationwide address on the Iran situation at 9 p.m. Eastern Time on April 2. This news drove U.S. stocks higher across the board— the S&P 500 rose about 2.9%, the Nasdaq gained approximately 3.8%,

Latest Technical Analysis: ETH has been in a medium- to long-term downtrend channel for several consecutive months. At the end of March, it clearly broke through the short-term bullish trend line and is currently under pressure below the EMA50. The price retraced over 58% from last year's high of 4955 but formed a low-volatility zone around 2000, with clear signals of continuous whale accumulation.
Support levels are at 1950-1900; a break below could see it at 1820!
In the short term, the outlook remains bearish, but the bottom characteristics are becoming more evident. Waiting patiently f

Last week, the Ethereum spot ETF with the largest net outflow was BlackRock's ETF ETHA, with a weekly net outflow of $285 million. Currently, ETHA has a total net inflow of $11.63 billion. The second is Grayscale's Ethereum Mini Trust ETH, with a weekly net outflow of $24.9 million. Currently, ETH has a total net inflow of $1.82 billion.

Ethereum 2020 rebound failed, beware this is a trap
Ethereum at 67,000 has broken below, risks are increasing
One sentence: This is not a consolidation, this is a trap
Morning session leans bearish, panic may be coming!!!
ETH key structure:
2020 Strong resistance
↓
2000 Bulls and bears争夺
↓
1990 Sentiment critical point
↓
1960 First target
↓
1920 Strong support
BTC synchronized structure:
67,500 Short-term resistance
↓
66,500 Bulls and bears dividing line
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66,000 Sentiment critical point
↓
65,000 Strong support
As long as it breaks

On Monday, everyone breathes a sigh of relief. Ah, the end of the world didn't come. Quickly, they push the market up, gaining 3%. Then on Tuesday and Wednesday, confidence gradually erodes. By Thursday and Friday, geopolitical uncertainties become a sword hanging over everyone's neck. No one wants to hold positions over the weekend because no one knows whether bombs will fall on oil fields this weekend.

On-chain data is very "divided" today. On one side, a whale spent $15.57 million to buy ETH at $2,064, while on the other side, OG whales dumped and ran at $2,073, unable to hold for four years. At the same time, a new address received 55,000 ETH from Galaxy. This kind of "handing over from left to right" transfer often indicates an imminent market reversal.

ETH one-hour chart: MACD white and yellow lines have formed a death cross below the 0 axis, green histogram is shrinking in volume, RSI is hovering below 50, and open interest continues to decline. Resistance above at 2225, 2285; support below at 2105, 2045.
Summary of views: The technical picture favors bearish momentum. It is unlikely to directly break through resistance in the short term, with a high probability of first testing support levels downward.

The market oscillates 80% of the time. The real 20% that makes you money often only accounts for 5% of your holding time. The remaining 95% is spent waiting—waiting for signals, waiting for breakouts, waiting for the counterparty to run out of patience.
Right now is that "waiting" period.
Don't exhaust your energy on a few candlesticks, and don't get caught up in ranging back and forth. Oscillation is a red envelope from the market to patient people, not a paycheck for those with itchy fingers.

Still maintaining a high-level short strategy, waiting for BTC to potentially rise again to the upper band of the fourth wave zone near the yellow resistance line for shorting. Currently looking at the 75500-77000 range. Catching the beginning of this fifth wave major plunge opportunity, BTC at 5-handle levels is coming.

This market movement is really head-scratching! ETH's hourly chart clearly shows a downtrend, but the market keeps showing some strength trying to push upward. Will we touch the 2150 resistance level today, or head straight toward 2010 or even 1960?
News/Fundamentals:
The current funding rate is negative with basis contango, indicating bearish market sentiment and a lack of bullish intent from major players. Bulls are exhausted, and any rallies easily become "bull traps."
Summary View: The fundamentals don't support a strong breakout—any rebounds present selling pressure opportunities.

The law's net is vast; though its mesh is loose, nothing escapes it. The precepts shine brightly and cannot be profaned. Letting the thousand-year-old Shaolin be tarnished serves as a wake-up call for those trapped in the snares of fame and fortune. The evening drum and morning bell startle those obsessed with worldly gains; the chanting of sutras and Buddha's name summon back those lost in the sea of suffering. It is difficult to be human, and equally difficult to renounce the world and become a monk, for temptations lurk everywhere. Everyone understands the principles, but what matters is a

As long as liquidity is loose → gold rises
But when inflation forces tightening → gold becomes a victim
If oil continues to push inflation higher, central banks — led by the Federal Reserve — may have no choice but to maintain restrictive policies or even tighten again.
This is when the turning point occurs.
Not during the crisis
But after it

Funding rates aren't just fees at all—they're the exchange's harvesting baton! When the rate is positive, longs send money to shorts; when it's negative, shorts subsidize longs. Once one side's rate skyrockets continuously, like exceeding 0.1%, that's basically shouting: "Get ready to harvest this side!" In real trading, when you see the rate exceed 0.1% three times in a row, don't fight it head-on. Counter-positioning often lets you catch the meat.

This rebound hasn't ended yet, because breaking below 72839 only destroyed the uptrend within the yellow box. Before breaking below 70273, the uptrend remains intact—it's just that the uptrend has returned to a weak zone. Only when it breaks below 70273, which is the starting point of this rebound rally, will the hourly-level uptrend be completely destroyed, and then it will return to the consolidation zone outlined by the white box below for oscillation.

BTC, the brightest spot on the heat map is concentrated in the 75,000 to 76,000 range. When BTC touched 76,000, it wiped out all the short positions in this area in one sweep, because many people had their stop losses set in this zone and got liquidated in the wave. Looking at the heat map now, the "corpses" of shorts near 76,000 have been mostly cleared out, but moving up further to 78,000, there's another layer of new short defensive positions stacked up. Looking downward, the 72,000 level is actually where longs have their stop losses, and if the price drops down there, it could trigger a c

Although the market has shown an uptrend, it's merely a rebound. It's premature to talk about a reversal yet. Don't assume that every pump means it can go much higher just because you see the price being pushed up. Nobody can just keep pumping without pulling back! A bear market isn't mindless dumping. If you keep smashing the price without pumping, who would still play? When it creates the illusion for everyone that if you don't get on board now you'll miss your chance—that's when the dumping begins. Think about it carefully.