【CME Gap Near 80,000, Where Will This Round of Rebound End?】



Previously, it was analyzed that Bitcoin would first test the previous low support at 62,510. The lowest retracement was to 63,030, just holding the line, without a significant breakdown, avoiding a pessimistic scenario.

Whether it falls or not is a strong signal
Relying on the previous low support, the bulls quickly organized a counterattack, pushing Bitcoin back up to around 70,000.

Currently, the price is approaching the short-term resistance zone of 69,000–70,000. From the 4-hour structure, it has broken through the upper edge of the triangle, accompanied by increased volume, indicating a higher probability of a successful breakout.

However, whether it can truly stabilize above 70,000 still depends on the daily closing situation.

In terms of expected rhythm, the more ideal movement is:
First, retest the upper edge of the triangle near 67,900, and confirm support without falling back inside the triangle, then continue upward.

Upper resistance levels are also relatively clear:
• The first target is in the 73,000–74,000 range, which has been repeatedly mentioned before and faces considerable pressure;
• Further upward is the CME gap at 79,660–81,210, where there will be very strong selling pressure.

Personally, I believe this gap area is unlikely to be filled in one go and is more likely to become a stage endpoint for this rebound.

From a cycle perspective, the monthly chart has rarely shown five consecutive down days, and there is a high probability of a positive close in March.

Therefore, there is no need to panic excessively. Be patient and look for swing trading opportunities after retracements, and remember not to chase rallies or sell in panic.
ETH6,1%
BTC5,73%
View Original
post-image
post-image
橙子研究院vip
[Where is the bottom: 57,000 or 54,000? Multiple support levels are about to see a major rebound]

After the four-hour divergence appeared, Bitcoin has not been able to organize an effective rebound, instead moving sideways with a horizontal trend. This is the most frustrating situation—no rise when it should, and after exhausting rebound momentum, it can only continue downward to seek support!

Currently, after Bitcoin briefly dipped below the previous small low, a minor divergence appeared. Therefore, the small support at 62,500 can serve as a clear defensive position (stop-loss below 61,600). The market will rely on this level for a rebound. Pay close attention to the 8 o'clock daily close; if it can recover above 65,000, the rebound will continue. The first resistance level is around 70,000.

If not, then after weak consolidation, a new low is highly probable! At that point, we need to observe whether a quick dip to a new low results in a secondary daily divergence, which could be a trading opportunity. If it’s a decline with bearish momentum, then we will need to wait further.

In terms of levels, the 57,000-58,000 range and around 54,000 are potential support zones, especially 54,000. This level is where multiple supports converge: the Fibonacci 0.236 level of the 25-year bullish candle body, the 7-day moving average, and the lower boundary of the upward channel since the last bear market low of 15,476. A major rebound is expected here, making it a key area to watch!
repost-content-media
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
Comment
0/400
No comments
  • Pin

Trade Crypto Anywhere Anytime
qrCode
Scan to download Gate App
Community
  • 简体中文
  • English
  • Tiếng Việt
  • 繁體中文
  • Español
  • Русский
  • Français (Afrique)
  • Português (Portugal)
  • Bahasa Indonesia
  • 日本語
  • بالعربية
  • Українська
  • Português (Brasil)