Foresight News reports that on Polymarket, the probability of Flying Tulip’s FDV exceeding $1 billion on its first day of launch has dropped to 37%, the probability of exceeding $1.5 billion is 7%, and the probability of exceeding $800 million is 98%. Currently, the trading volume on this prediction market exceeds $2.95 million.
Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third parties and does not represent the views or opinions of Gate. The content displayed on this page is for reference only and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Gate does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information and shall not be liable for any losses arising from the use of this information. Virtual asset investments carry high risks and are subject to significant price volatility. You may lose all of your invested principal. Please fully understand the relevant risks and make prudent decisions based on your own financial situation and risk tolerance. For details, please refer to
Disclaimer.
Related Articles
Polymarket has pinned several prediction markets related to the US-Iran war.
Foresight News reports that Polymarket has pinned several prediction markets related to the US-Iran war, including when a ceasefire will occur and whether the Iranian regime will fall before the end of the year.
GateNews52m ago
Six Polymarket accounts suspected of insider trading, betting on US sanctions against Iran, profit of $1 million
According to analysis company BubblemapsSA's forecast, six newly opened accounts earned approximately $1 million by betting on the U.S. taking action against Iran before February 28. This has raised suspicions of insider trading, a pattern that has appeared in other prediction market cases.
GateNews2h ago
Crypto Panic Surges Amid U.S.-Iran Tensions
Crypto markets plunged as U.S.-Iran tensions flared, leading to $1.8B in sell orders and $500M in liquidations, primarily in Bitcoin and Ethereum. Polymarket users profited from predicting strikes, showcasing the influence of geopolitical events on trader sentiment and market instability.
CryptoFrontNews2h ago
Betting on Polymarket that Khamenei will step down before March 31, probability soars to 93%
ChainCatcher reports that, according to Polymarket data, the probability of "Hamaney will step down as Iran's Supreme Leader before March 31" winning the market has surged sharply to 93% today, an increase of 85 percentage points from earlier, with the total market trading volume reaching $30.43 million.
GateNews5h ago
Polymarket users bet that the US and Israel would not strike Iran, and after earning over $2 million in two months, they experienced a single-day loss of $6.5 million
Odaily Planet Daily reports that according to Lookonchain monitoring, Polymarket user anoin123 previously kept betting that the US/Israel would not launch strikes against Iran, accumulating over $2 million in profit within two months. However, after the strike event occurred, anoin123 suffered a single-day loss of $6.5 million, shifting from a profit of over $2 million to a loss of more than $4.5 million.
GateNews12h ago
New Wallet "Roeyha2026" Gains $96.8K on Iran Strike Prediction Bet
Gate News bot message, A newly created wallet named "Roeyha2026" spent $50K eleven hours ago on a prediction market bet that the US would strike Iran by March 1, 2026. The wallet has gained $96.8K since placing the bet.
GateNews17h ago
