2026-01-17 05:20:22

#美国核心物价涨幅不及市场预估【The New Fed Leader Emerges, Market Anticipates a Major Policy Shift】$BTC $ETH $DUSK

The personnel power struggle in Washington over the past month has quietly rewritten market expectations.

The candidate who was originally the most favored suddenly saw support drop to 15%, while a previously less prominent figure's support surged to over 60%. Even more interesting, this "dark horse" although labeled as "hawkish," traders are betting that once in office, he will initiate a combination of rate cuts and balance sheet reduction.

The logic here is: this person has publicly stated that the real driver of current inflation is not supply chain disruptions, but loose monetary policy itself. This has led the market to infer an interesting contrast—tough rhetoric but potentially much more accommodative policy implementation than expected.

His optimistic attitude towards the US economy is also noteworthy. In his view, technological innovation combined with policy adjustments is enough to ignite the next growth cycle. If this logic truly becomes the policy compass, the financial environment could be more relaxed than many people imagine.

The market has already sensed the shift in tone:
✅ The probability of rate hikes is rapidly decreasing
✅ Risk assets like stocks and cryptocurrencies are eager to move
✅ The US dollar index is beginning to weaken

In simple terms, this is not just personnel adjustment but a litmus test for global capital allocation over the next three years. Whoever controls the monetary policy steering wheel will control the market rhythm.

⚠️ But remember: Washington could have new reversals every day, and market volatility often occurs in an instant. Being well-prepared and staying flexible is the prudent approach.

Comment section open: Do you think this is the true turning point for the market, or just a phase of emotional release? How will the new policy orientation create opportunities for crypto assets?

BTC-3,38%

ETH-4,28%

DUSK-2,53%

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BlockDetective

· 01-20 03:57

BlackRock taking office, so what? Washington's words are like farting; reversal is the norm. It's either personnel power struggles or policy shifts, this script was played last year, and those still believing are just leeks. Cut rates and shrink the balance sheet? Let's wait and see. It's strange if both policies can be implemented simultaneously. The crypto circle falls for this trick—one rumor and prices surge; once the real evidence drops, it crashes directly. Instead of studying those old foxes in Washington, it's much more honest to look at on-chain data. There are too many claims of "turning points"; real opportunities often lie in contrarian strategies. The Federal Reserve's liquidity injections are always selective. Want to reap real benefits in crypto? That's a joke.

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DeFiVeteran

· 01-18 17:16

Hawkish rate cut? I just can't buy into that logic. No matter how good Washington's story sounds, it still depends on what's actually happening. Here we go again, every time they mention a turning point, and then the next week it reverses. But the rate cut expectations can definitely be hyped up for a wave, BTC will take a couple of bites first. If this dark horse really manages to weaken the dollar, that would be interesting. Technological innovation plus easing? Sounds like a bullish call. Wait, tough talk but easing implementation? That's just Washington's old trick, all talk, don't take it too seriously. It feels like this time the trend is indeed different, but without three months of data, it's hard to say. Crypto remains to be seen, as actions will always reveal intentions. In a loose environment, small tokens like DUSK might get a boost, but the risks are also high. It still depends on when the rate hike probability will truly materialize.

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AirdropHunterXiao

· 01-17 16:25

It's the same logic of "personnel changes = policy shift." I was thinking I said this last time too, but what happened? The Federal Reserve still unexpectedly launched a wave of 😅

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AllInAlice

· 01-17 05:43

When the black horse's rate cut expectation was announced, I started increasing my positions, betting that they would really loosen monetary policy. This move is truly a reverse bet—hawkish officials doing dovish things, and the market is the real winner. Washington keeps changing its stance every day; this time, it feels different. Money is flowing into risk assets, and that's all that matters. I've said it before, the inflation problem isn't caused by supply chain issues—it's because of excessive monetary easing. Wait, if they really take office, will they do a reverse operation again? Who can understand Washington's tactics? The opportunity window in the crypto world might really be opening now. When the financial environment loosens, everything takes off immediately. Where is the promised rate cut? It feels like we’re always waiting, but this time, the market's reaction is different. Who holds the policy steering wheel determines where the capital flows go—simple, straightforward, but true. I just want to know: will this black horse really play the rate cut card, or will they continue to maintain the hawkish persona?

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MeaninglessApe

· 01-17 05:37

BlackRock takes office, traders are directly betting on rate cuts, this logic is a bit crazy... --- Is there a rate cut combo hidden under the hawkish label? I still somewhat believe in Washington's tricks. --- If a loose financial environment really arrives, BTC might take off this time. --- Honestly, Washington's reversal speed is even faster than the crypto circle. Who can predict that? --- Technological innovation plus policy adjustments ignite growth? Sounds great, just not sure when it will materialize. --- Personnel adjustments = a litmus test for capital allocation. This judgment is a bit hardcore, but also quite realistic. --- A softening dollar and a downward revision of rate hike probabilities, connecting these lines indeed benefits crypto. --- The question is whether to believe or not that this guy can turn the logic into reality. --- Feels like another prelude to a wave of retail investors being cut, just a surge of sentiment first. --- The person steering monetary policy really is the pulse of the market rhythm, this statement is spot on.

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ChainMaskedRider

· 01-17 05:31

The market is expecting interest rate cuts in the US, and this wave of crypto is about to take off. It's the Washington drama again, reversals can happen at any time. I'll still reduce my positions first to ease the nerves. Hard rhetoric, loose policies? With this combination, BTC is definitely set to surge. Honestly, every time there's a personnel change, people say it's a turning point, but then a couple of days later, they reverse their stance. Let's just wait and see. A combination of rate cuts and balance sheet reduction, a weakening dollar is definitely good news. BTC and ETH are directly set to take off. Instead of talking about turning points, ask yourself if your holdings are enough. When the market really moves, you'll be caught off guard. Loose policies? Let's wait and see. Washington's drama is more exciting than a TV series, with reversals happening in the next second.

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StakeTillRetire

· 01-17 05:30

The market is expecting interest rate cuts to come to power. Is BTC about to take off?

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AlgoAlchemist

· 01-17 05:29

Will a Black Swan really lead to interest rate cuts? I remain skeptical; Washington has pulled this stunt too many times. --- Hard rhetoric to implement easing? Wake up, everyone, history always repeats itself. --- This reversal still feels mostly driven by sentiment; let's wait until it actually materializes. --- Can the dollar's weakness make crypto take off? It's not that simple, brothers. --- Three-year acid test? Laughable. Washington can reverse ten times in a month. --- Instead of betting on policy shifts, better to manage your own risk exposure. --- With such strong easing expectations, be cautious of a reverse sell-off. --- Interest rate cuts + balance sheet reduction? That logic seems to conflict. --- The trend has indeed changed, but I'm still waiting for a second confirmation. --- Technological innovation igniting growth? I've heard this line too many times.

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GateUser-7b078580

· 01-17 05:24

Data shows that historical lows can often be seen if you wait a bit... Although, this logic sounds like wishful thinking from a trader.

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