Based on data from a prediction platform, the probability that the U.S. Department of Homeland Security government shutdown will continue for more than 70 days has fallen to 8%, with trading volume exceeding $1.27 million. Trump said he is about to sign an order to ensure employee pay, praising House Republicans for their efforts on this issue.

Bitcoin is trading sideways near $66,000, influenced by remarks by Trump on the situation in Iran. The shipping and insurance costs in the Strait of Hormuz reflect elevated risk. It is expected that an expanding supply shortfall will continue to weigh on Bitcoin and other risk assets, and in the short term the market may still remain choppy.

Driven by the impact of Trump’s hardline remarks toward Iran, the crypto market weakened, with Bitcoin and Ethereum falling to $66,609 and $2,056, respectively. Market panic sentiment intensified, and the Fear & Greed Index dropped to 8. War risk pushed energy prices up, suppressing the valuations of risk assets, and in the short term volatility in crypto assets could increase.

Gate News reports that on April 2, WTI crude oil broke through $103 per barrel, rising 4.07% intraday; Brent crude oil surged by $4 intraday, currently at $102.86 per barrel, up 4.06%. According to reports, Trump stated that if no agreement is reached, he will strike Iran’s energy facilities. As a result, U.S. stock index futures declined; S&P 500 index futures are down 0.5% latest.

Gate News message: April 2, WTI crude oil (U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude oil futures) broke through $100 per barrel, up 0.93% during the day. Brent crude oil (international benchmark crude oil futures) broke through $99 per barrel, up 0.27% during the day. As oil prices rise, Trump is giving a speech.

Gate News update. April 2, Trump announced his victory. As a result, spot gold plunged nearly $60 in the short term, currently at $4,737.15 per ounce.

Polymarket adds a new prediction event to discuss whether Trump Mobile will be released before the end of April or before the end of June. At present, the probability before the end of April is 6%, and before the end of June is 22%. A release only counts as official if it is available for the public to buy by the specified time, and the company’s past plans have been delayed.

Trump said the United States could end its war with Iran within two to three weeks, with the goal of stopping its nuclear weapons development. It has not yet been determined whether the strait will be reopened. Brent crude oil prices hit a record high, tightening energy supplies and further increasing market attention. Trump handed responsibility for restarting the strait to other countries and plans to explain the Iran issue in a nationwide address. The market is taking a cautious view of how events will unfold.

As expectations grow that a Trump-led Iran war will end within two to three weeks, global risk-asset sentiment has rebounded. Bitcoin is holding at $67,950, Asia-Pacific equities are performing strongly, and overall market risk appetite has recovered. Institutional capital is flowing into the crypto market, which could push Bitcoin toward a clear direction. The market is waiting for Trump’s key speech to confirm the trend.