Forecast market shows Wosh is the top favorite to become Federal Reserve Chair, with Hasset significantly behind.

Odaily Planet Daily reported that prediction market Polymarket data shows that currently, the probability of Hassett receiving the chair nomination has dropped to 15%, comparable to Federal Reserve Board member Waller, while Kevin Warsh’s nomination probability has risen to over 60%, making him the leading favorite and far ahead of other candidates. Today, when discussing White House National Economic Council Director Hassett, Trump stated, “We want him to stay in his current position, and we’ll see.” This remark hints that Trump may have another candidate in mind for Federal Reserve Chair. Market expectations for the Fed Chair have shifted from a split between Kevin Hassett and Kevin Warsh to Warsh leading alone. Notably, before Trump’s statement today, Hassett also expressed his views, saying, “Warsh and Rieder would also be great Fed Chairs.” Perhaps Hassett already has some insight into Trump’s final choice.