The recent surge in privacy-focused cryptocurrency Zcash may be driven more by capital rotation than a sustained structural bull trend, said Real Vision founder and macro investor Raoul Pal.
“Do I need that asset to say I was in earliest? I don’t really,” Pal told Kevin Follonier on the “When Shift Happens” podcast published on Thursday.
The privacy-focused token Zcash (ZEC) has seen significant gains this year, but Pal said it is still too early to say whether its rally represents the beginning of a broader uptrend.
“We can’t prove it until the whole market goes up and it continues to trend and not a rotation,” he said. “Right now it’s confirming the rotation thesis.”
Zcash is trading at $385.81, up 699.07% since Jan. 1, according to CoinMarketCap. However, momentum has slowed down in recent weeks. Over the past 30 days, the token’s price has declined by approximately 37%.
_Raoul Pal spoke to Kevin Follonier on the When Shift Happens podcast on Thursday. Source: _YouTube
Pal said the primary signal to watch will be whether Zcash can establish a strong floor price after its recent run-up. “What you want to see is whether it finds a base and then starts pulling up again,” he said. Over the past 30 days, Zcash’s price has declined by around 37%.
Pal said he is not eager to buy the crypto asset at current levels. “I’m not sure I’m going to chase it, but I might buy it in the next down cycle,” Pal said.
Zcash was posting price gains despite the broader crypto market being in decline. Its market capitalization rose from under $1 billion in August to a peak above $7 billion in early November.
Zcash saw a massive surge after Arthur Hayes’ tip
A growing number of crypto market participants have been prioritizing anonymity in recent times, which has pushed privacy tokens into the spotlight, crypto exchange XT Exchange said on Nov. 9.
Just a month earlier, on Oct. 26, Zcash rose 30% in 24 hours after crypto entrepreneur Arthur Hayes predicted the token could eventually reach $10,000.
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Meanwhile, institutional interest in the crypto asset has also increased.
On Nov. 27, Grayscale Investments submitted a filing to the US Securities and Exchange Commission, signaling its intention to convert its fund tied to Zcash into a spot ETF.
The move followed Grayscale’s launch of other spot ETFs linked to cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH), Dogecoin (DOGE) and XRP (XRP).
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