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According to Gate Research, the crypto market experienced a choppy recovery this week under shifting macro sentiment. As retail data weakened and several Fed officials delivered dovish signals, rate-cut expectations strengthened, with the probability of a December cut rising to 84.9%. Risk assets saw a moderate improvement in sentiment. After a continuous pullback, Bitcoin found strong buying interest near $80,000 and rebounded to around $88,000, lifting major altcoins as well. However, capital flows remain cautious, ETF inflows are limited, and the broader market still reflects a weak rebound structure.

According to Gate Research, the cryptocurrency market has recently weakened overall. On the macro side, cooling expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts and rising risk-off sentiment have put simultaneous pressure on equities, gold, and crypto assets. Bitcoin broke below key support levels and briefly fell under USD 90,000, erasing its year-to-date gains and declining about 27% from the intraday all-time high set on October 6. Technically, the 50-day moving average has crossed below the 200-day moving average, forming a “death cross,” indicating further bearish momentum in the medium term.

According to Gate Research, Bitcoin rebounded to around $106,000 this week after briefly dipping below $100,000, driven by easing concerns over the U.S. government shutdown and improving risk appetite. While a preliminary MACD bullish crossover has formed, both trading volume and capital inflows remain weak, indicating the uptrend is not yet established. Ethereum continues to fluctuate between $3,400 and $3,650 with limited rebound momentum. Overall, market sentiment remains cautious, and the recent rebound appears to be a technical correction rather than the start of a new bullish phase.

Gate Research reported that Bitcoin fell below $100,000 this week for the first time since June, hitting a low of $99,932 and breaking below its 200-day moving average, marking the second-largest single-day drop of the year.

Weekly Report Date: November 3, 2025. Please note that all opinions and information provided are for reference only and do not constitute investment advice. Strategy Recommendation: BTC Reverse Bullish Calendar Spread. For a limited time, option fee discounts are available: https://www.gate.com/zh/campaigns/3109

Gate Research noted that BTC has recently been consolidating between $108,000 and $115,000, with short-term moving averages converging and market direction remaining uncertain. If the price holds above $107,000, the range-bound movement may continue; a breakout above $115,000 with rising volume could open the door to a new upward leg. ETH has been fluctuating between $3,850 and $4,250, showing weaker momentum, but a breakout above $4,100–$4,200 could reignite its uptrend. Overall, the market continues to oscillate within key ranges, while liquidity conditions remain cautious.

Weekly Report Date: October 27, 2025; Important Notice: The opinions and information herein are for reference only and do not constitute investment advice for any individual; Strategy Recommendation: BTC Bullish Calendar Spread.

Gate Research Institute stated that BTC is currently consolidating at low levels within the $108,000–$109,000 range, lacking a clear short-term direction. ETH is fluctuating between $3,850–$4,050, with selling pressure still present but the decline narrower than in previous periods.

Gate Research notes that in his latest speech, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell highlighted significant downside risks to the labor market, suggesting the Fed may halt balance sheet reduction in the coming months. Markets interpreted this as a further dovish shift in policy. As a result, the US dollar retreated, and the probability of a rate cut at the Fed's October 28–29 meeting has risen to 97.8%, with only a 2.2% chance of keeping rates unchanged.

By comparing perpetual contracts and options trading in traditional financial markets and the cryptocurrency space, the article reveals the unique advantages of the crypto market as well as the challenges it faces. 询问 ChatGPT

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