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Fed Chair Kevin Warsh Raises 2026 Inflation Forecast to 3.6%, Signals Hawkish Stance

2026-06-22 16:02:17

According to CME FedWatch Tool, on June 22, the Federal Reserve under new Chair Kevin Warsh kept interest rates unchanged at 3.5%–3.75% but signaled a tougher inflation-focused stance than anticipated. The Fed raised its 2026 inflation forecast from 2.7% to 3.6% and core inflation expectations from 2.7% to 3.3%. For 2027, core inflation was revised higher from 2.2% to 2.5%. Policy rate expectations for 2026 were increased from 3.4% to 3.8%, with 9 of 18 voting members now expecting another rate hike this year. Markets now price in a nearly 90% probability of a rate increase before year-end.

Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third-party sources and is for reference only. It does not represent the views or opinions of Gate and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Virtual asset trading involves high risk. Please do not rely solely on the information on this page when making decisions. For details, see the Disclaimer.

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