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BIS Warns AI Spending Boom Could Trigger Sustained Investment Recession, With Hyperscalers Targeting $1T Through 2026

GateNews
AI Industry News
According to the Bank for International Settlements annual economic report released Sunday (June 28), the BIS warned that major tech companies' artificial intelligence spending boom could lead to a sustained investment recession, potentially impacting financial markets and the global economy. The five largest hyperscalers are expected to invest over $1 trillion combined through the end of 2026, but if returns disappoint, investors may rapidly tighten financing, turning capital spending growth into a prolonged investment contraction. The warning comes as market euphoria signals intensify: SpaceX launched a $25 billion bond offering shortly after a record $86 billion IPO, while Allianz's chief investment officer this week flagged the market entering "bubble territory." Tech companies are also leveraging near-record-low credit spreads to issue substantial debt for AI projects, with hundreds of billions in funding flowing into the sector.
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