2月3日消息，最新链上与市场数据揭示，现货加密货币交易量已滑落至2024年以来的低点，显示投资者需求明显走弱。分析机构指出，主要平台的现货成交额已从2025年10月高点的约2万亿美元，骤降至今年1月底的约1万亿美元，几乎腰斩。
比特币目前约报7.85万美元，较10月峰值回落约37.5%。CryptoQuant分析师 Darkfost 表示，现货需求正在“快速枯竭”，本轮回调主要由10月的一次大规模清算事件引发，并在流动性紧张与避险情绪升温的背景下持续发酵。该机构数据显示，多家平台的比特币现货成交额已出现同步下滑，反映出资金活跃度显著下降。
不仅如此，市场流动性也在承压。稳定币资金正从交易平台流出，相关市值缩减约100亿美元，被视为风险偏好降温的另一信号。Arctic Digital研究主管 Justin d’Anethan 指出，短期内比特币面临的主要压力来自宏观层面，包括利率前景不确定、美元走强及实际收益率上升等因素，这些都会抑制风险资产表现。
不过，他也认为，若后续出现ETF资金回流、美国出台更清晰的加密立法，或经济数据迫使政策重新转向宽松，市场仍可能迎来有力反弹。他形容当前调整“虽苦却必要”，有助于清理过度杠杆并压制投机。
从周期结构看，Alphractal首席执行官 Joao Wedson 指出，比特币真正触底仍需满足长期持有者开始承担亏损等条件。目前短期持有者已处于亏损状态，但若价格跌破7.4万美元关键区间，市场或将进入更深层的调整阶段。
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