Chainlink 本周发出了一线希望的信号,资深交易员 Michaël van de Poppe 指出他认为这是代币图表结构性变化的开始。“LINK 是一个有趣的项目,基于技术分析(TA)和基本面分析(FA)。技术非常出色。图表开始变得更好。自整个熊市以来,首次形成更高的低点。如果这一点得以维持并向上突破,我预计 Chainlink 的图表将创造出一个新的更高的高点,”他写道,这简洁的背书让交易者重新关注图表。
市场数据显示,Chainlink 在周五的交易价格约为 $13.70,较近期低点略有上涨,但仍远未达到交易者记忆中的历史高点。主要的价格聚合器报告市值刚刚低于 $10 十亿,日交易量在数亿美元的低端,这样的流动性如果动能回归,可以支撑有意义的价格变动。
从技术角度看,van de Poppe 的观点基于一个简单但强大的想法:更高的低点是空头趋势逐渐失去控制的第一个迹象。LINK/BTC 的周线显示出一个扁平的底部和从前低点的浅幅上升,如果能确认对前一个波段高点的有效收复,这将把长期的看跌序列转变为复苏的最早阶段。TradingView 上的市场讨论也开始用类似的术语描述这一对,指出突破短期阻力位将使多头的动能占据优势。
Chainlink 动能改善
链上和基本面因素为技术故事增添了色彩。Chainlink 的预言机网络在 DeFi 和企业集成中仍被广泛使用,协议持续宣传其与机构的合作以及为市场和应用提供数据流的产品,许多投资者表示,这一叙事证明了在波动的价格行动中保持耐心的合理性。这些合作关系,虽然不能保证价格上涨,但有助于解释为何一些分析师愿意押注于结构性转变。
市场策略师开始预计如果动能得到确认,价格将有适度上涨。一些短期预测和交易所评论将近期目标定在中间的十几美元,约 $15–$16,前提是价格能果断突破 immediate resistance 并得到支持指标的确认。这正是 van de Poppe 所描述的场景:在更高的低点持稳,然后突破,迎来更高的高点。
当然,另一面也是真实存在的。加密市场以二元性著称:一次失败的突破可能迅速演变成再次的抛售,宏观驱动因素、比特币的强势、监管消息和流动性变化都至关重要。然而,目前对交易者来说,图景相当简单:LINK 已经形成了底部,技术分析师的情绪正在改善,若能实现清晰的向上突破,将把故事从“复苏希望”转变为“确认的轮动”。未来几天市场是否会给予 Chainlink 这一确认,成为所有关注 van de Poppe 资讯的人都在试图回答的问题。
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