TRX价格(TRX)在周三保持在0.29美元以上的交易势头，逼近一个关键阻力区域。如果能够在这个位置上形成有说服力的收盘，市场很可能会出现新一轮上涨的初步信号。此前的上涨动力进一步得到巩固，乐观情绪围绕与Wirex的战略合作关系展开，加上链上指标和衍生品数据的积极表现，显示TRX正积累足够的力量，未来有望迎来一波显著的上涨。
Tron网络的接受度不断提高
Wirex——一家拥有稳定币基础设施的全球数字支付平台——已于周二宣布与TRON DAO建立战略合作关系。据此，双方将共同开发一层新的支付系统，允许在链上实时、自动且全球范围内转移价值，并直接集成到Tron网络中。
此举被视为中长期内对TRX原生代币的明显看涨信号，有助于扩大网络的接受度，改善流动性，并提升TRX在支付生态系统中的作用。
然而，短期内市场反应仍较为谨慎。TRX价格在公告后仅小幅上涨，徘徊在0.29美元附近。
链上和衍生指标显示积极信号
来自DefiLama的数据表明，Tron网络上的稳定币总供应量自12月底以来持续增长，目前达到817.9亿美元，距离8月初创下的历史高点830亿美元仅一步之遥。稳定币资金的快速增长反映出生态系统的活跃度不断提升，积累的价值也在不断增加。这对价格前景是一个积极信号，表明网络使用度的改善和吸引新用户的潜力日益明显。
来源：DefiLlama在另一方面，衍生市场的指标也支持TRX的上涨预期。根据Coinglass的数据，周三TRX的多空比已飙升至1.60，为一个多月来的最高水平。该比率持续高于1，显示大部分交易者倾向于预期TRX价格在短期内继续上涨。
来源：Coinglass## Tron价格预测：若收盘价高于0.29美元，TRX可能上涨
TRX价格在周四突破50日EMA线（约0.28美元）后，出现了显著的上涨，至周六上涨超过3%，并重新测试约0.29美元的阻力区域。然而，由于TRX尚未能在该阻力位上形成坚实的收盘，卖压仍然存在，导致接下来的两个交易日出现轻微调整。截至周三撰写时，TRX交易在0.29美元左右，显示多头仍在积极寻求更明确的突破。
在乐观的情景下，如果TRX成功收盘于0.29美元以上，涨势可能会进一步扩大，目标指向10月22日的高点0.32美元。
TRX/USDT日线图 | 来源：TradingView技术指标继续支持上涨趋势。日线上的RSI指标目前为64，远高于中性线50，反映上涨动力正在增强。此外，MACD已形成金叉，柱状图变为绿色并扩大在中性线以上，进一步巩固短期内的积极预期。
不过，调整风险仍需注意。如果TRX面临获利回吐压力，价格可能回落至50日EMA线（约0.28美元）附近的支撑区域，维持这一支撑对于保持当前的上涨结构至关重要。
SN_Nour
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