加密图表分析师兼YouTube创作者More Crypto Online表示,Hedera的HBAR仍然处于调整模式,目前尚无技术证据表明底部已经形成。尽管近期有所反弹,该代币仍在关键趋势线以下交易,保持更广泛的下行趋势,压力主要集中在多头一方。
第4浪可能已达顶——但再一次的低点“可能性”较大
分析师将当前结构描述为延伸的第4浪调整,现在显示出他所称的“不错的WXY结构”向上。关键的是,最近的上涨被描述为明显的三浪结构,而非五浪冲动,这使其仍处于调整区域。
价格在第一个主要的下降趋势线受到阻力,强化了这一走势仍然是逆趋势的观点。虽然他“尚未完全相信”第4浪已经见顶,但他指出,“再一次的低点”很可能出现,因为市场对调整形态的尊重非常干净。
跌破大约$0.108将成为他判断第五浪下行开始的触发点。
看涨的替代方案依赖五浪反弹
视频中提出了一个类似于他在XRP上追踪的看涨替代计数:可能的底部已经在61.8%的Fibonacci回撤位附近,即$0.105左右。只要HBAR保持在该区域之上,这一场景“仍然合理”。
然而,要让这个看涨场景被认真对待,他希望看到从近期低点向上的完整五浪结构。用他的话说,“我们需要五浪上涨,才能认为底部已经形成。” 在这五浪完成并突破阻力之前,这一走势仍被视为调整反弹。
他补充说,任何底部的最早迹象将是突破接近$0.115的最后一次摆高。
动能仍偏向下行
分析师对价格运动的特性进行了对比:下跌“迅速,甚至冲动”,而反弹则“零散”,难以获得动力。HBAR仍然在下降趋势线以下,没有确认突破。
他反复强调,市场必须“证明自己”,才能假设有一个持久的底部。目前,他“在观察更低的可能性”,结构和动能都指向再次下行的风险,除非多头能够有信心地重新夺回阻力位。
对投资者而言,信息很明确:HBAR处于一个重要的支撑区域,但如果没有持续的五浪反弹和突破附近的阻力,关于底部已确认的乐观情绪最多也只是猜测。
探索DailyCoin今日最热的加密新闻:
美国提议在乌克兰的超级核电站进行比特币挖矿
$446M 资金直接流入XRP和SOL
人们也在问
分析师关注的HBAR关键支撑位是多少? 大约$0.105,他将其定义为61.8%的Fibonacci回撤位,也是看涨替代计数的关键水平。
什么信号表明底部可能已经到位? 首先,突破接近$0.115的近期摆高,更重要的是,从低点开始的清晰五浪上涨。
哪个水平暗示可能会再次下行? 大约$0.108以下的跌破,表明第五浪向下的走势可能已经开始。
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