CYF羽峰

4小時連陰下探，下行通道明確；回踩前低後反彈無量、未反包，僅弱勢技術性反抽，無反轉信號。
日線大陰線築頂，多頭承壓次高位，上攻動能衰竭。
週線頂背離確立，疊加日線頂部結構、均線失守，趨勢偏弱、重心下移，中期偏空格局清晰。
大餅：68500-69200附近空，目標67000-66000
以太：2070-2110附近空，目標2010-1950$BTC $ETH

Bitcoin fell under pressure near 71,600 yesterday and broke through the lowest level as expected in the evening, touching 68,800. Our high-altitude strategy yesterday was executed precisely.
From the chart perspective, the consolidation downtrend is clear, with consecutive lower lows and a complete downtrend structure. Three consecutive daily bearish candles accompanied by volume expansion, with market sentiment turning fully bearish and continuous selling pressure.
Four-hour eight consecutive bearish candles, with rebounds being weak recoveries. The hourly oscillation midpoint keeps moving lo

The market is in a super major downtrend, with bulls continuously breaking support levels and no effective support platform to stop the decline. The disappointment of rate cut expectations, Middle East oil crisis, and repeated inflation concerns create a triple negative pressure, intensifying panic. Price has pulled back to test the upper rail of the February box range. If it fails to quickly recover, a major downtrend channel will open.
BTC
Testing 69,000 support, with three consecutive breaks from 74,400 to 71,400 to 69,000 in recent days. 67,150–69,000 is the final defensive line. Breaking

1小時週期空頭明確，價格自高位放量下挫，連續跌破布林帶下軌及短期多重均線，短線空頭趨勢確立。

當前弱勢反彈承壓均線、量能持續萎縮，屬於下跌中繼弱反，反彈無動能。
KDJ小幅修復但仍在50下方，無反轉信號，僅超跌技術性修復。價格刷新低點70456，反彈未收復大陰線半分位，拋壓沉重，續跌概率高。

策略延續反彈高空為主，不抄底；

大餅：71500-72300分批空，目標70400/69000/68000，以太同步大餅即可。$BTC $ETH