4.13 Midday Thoughts
The failure of US-Iran talks, escalating Middle East tensions, and rising oil prices continue to suppress gold prices. The market directly jumped over 100$ at the start of the session.
On the hourly chart, a large bearish candle has broken through the Bollinger bands. It is currently filling the gap.
Resistance: 4745/4765/4795
Support: 4700/4665/4633
Rebound: sell short around 4750, target 4730/15
$BTC $ETH $XAUT

$RAVE I went in to check the road.

$BTC is still chopping around in the same area; which means the potential Bart move is still on the table.
Eyes on $70.5k.

SOL on the four-hour timeframe: the bearish trend remains unchanged, and the short-term rebound does not alter the overall trend. After topping out, it fell back again with a large bearish candle, and the upward movement on smaller timeframes has basically been recovered. The current price is consolidating in the lower band area, and no rebound signals have been observed. For intraday reference, short in the 82.5-84 zone, looking down toward the 78-73 zone
$BTC $SOL

Trump sets the alarm: Officially block Iranian ports at 10 a.m. today
Trump has spoken again. He announced on social media that at 10 a.m. Eastern Time on April 13, the U.S. will precisely implement a blockade on ships entering and leaving Iranian ports. The timing is exact to the hour, it seems it's not just talk.
As for whether Iran will return to the negotiating table? Trump directly dismisses it: I don't care. The implication: whether you want to come or not, I’ve already sealed it.
However, his attitude toward NATO seems a bit resentful. Trump said he was "very disappointed" that NATO did

#CrudeOilPriceRose
🚀 Crude Oil Prices on the Rise: A Signal of Shifting Market Dynamics
The recent upward movement in crude oil prices is capturing the attention of global markets, investors, and energy analysts alike. 📈 This development is more than just a short-term fluctuation — it reflects deeper structural trends shaping the global economy and energy landscape.
🌍 Understanding the Surge
Crude oil prices are influenced by a complex mix of supply-demand dynamics, geopolitical developments, and macroeconomic signals. The latest rise can be attributed to several key factors:
🔹 Supply Con

BTC last week MACD golden cross, a weekly golden cross does not mean the market has reversed, after the weekly line golden cross in August 2022, it fell 37%;
Currently, the price has not yet broken above or below the trend line, only when the weekly K effectively breaks above the trend line is the trend considered to have reversed;
The daily K top pattern is prominent and forms a bearish engulfing, this rebound to 73.7K is the end;
Earlier in the group and live broadcast, everyone was advised to short at 73.6K, watch whether 70.5K can break downward intraday,
If support at 70.5K is broken agai

A new week has begun. How should we operate this week's market? If you're unsure, keep reading Brother Sen's trading ideas 👇👇
Over the weekend, there was no US stock buying volume, causing the market to lack liquidity because the US-Iran negotiations led to increased market liquidity. But now, as the US-Iran talks break down again, a large amount of capital has rushed into emergency risk-aversion and massive selling has caused Big Pie to drop rapidly. Just as the bullish momentum had been barely formed, it has been disrupted again. If the daily EMA20 is broken below, then the bullish momentu

#ETH
Current trend: sideways trading within a range
Short-term resistance above: 2220
Resistance point above: 2260
Effective resistance above: 2330
Short-term support below: 2178
Support point below: 2156
Effective support below: 2122

Yesterday, I shared the idea of going long on Ethereum within the 2150-2165 range. From yesterday until now, the market has basically remained within a small sideways correction, and did not retrace to our planned entry zone. The lowest point during the session was around 2173, then it rose to 2217, and is now again pulling back to around 2190 for consolidation. The overall long strategy remains unchanged; we will continue to wait for a position to be established within the 2150-2165 range.
From the market chart, the 2120~2140 zone is a previous area of high trading volume, with a large accu

BTC, ETH, XAU short positions
Shorts are respectively opened at 71,400, 2,187, 4,690
This market now is like walking a tightrope, better to earn less than get buried #BTC

.55% in 24 hours, with a market cap of approximately $269.5 billion, and 24-hour trading volume of about $15.4 billion. This week, ETH became one of the biggest beneficiaries of the US-Iran ceasefire, soaring from $2,050 to over $2,250.
Macroe outlook: Expectations of ceasefire boost, delayed rate cuts suppress
The expectation of a ceasefire in the Middle East has increased risk appetite, causing Ethereum and Bitcoin to rebound in sync. But after the ceasefire breaks down, macro uncertainties rise again. March US CPI data shows persistent inflation, and the Fed’s delay in rate cuts continues t

The current price perfectly realizes the payout, and Mu Yao is once again deified! "4738-4724" secures the 14th legend again. The world is never short of good opportunities; what’s missing is the courage to decisively enter, the steadfastness to execute, and the boldness to try and fail.

$BTC closed with a perfect 50-50 structure.
This is not a trending market it’s a waiting game.
Lower timeframes already flipped bearish.
Next move could lean down if weakness continues.

If $RAVE shows 7 inside, it means it cannot be sold.

📊 Santiment: Top projects by development activity management.

Shocking—“blast the field” moment! Trump officially announces: Block Iran tonight at 10 PM!
US-Iran negotiations directly fall apart, and Trump strikes hard, announcing a comprehensive blockade of Iran tonight at 10 PM!
Ports and straits are placed under full control; oil exports are completely cut off, and the geopolitical storm is instantly turned up to maximum.
Oil price surge expectations are pushed to the limit; the crypto market, the stock market, and precious metals are all under pressure. Tonight is destined to be a sleepless night.
The market is set to move in extreme, one-directional

The Bank of Japan Signals Complex Changes, Macroeconomic Uncertainty Is Rising
On April 13, Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda stated that Japan's economy is experiencing a moderate recovery, but there are still signs of weakness.
Meanwhile, underlying inflation is gradually approaching the target level, but uncertainties caused by Middle Eastern tensions have begun to impact financial market stability.
More importantly, rising oil prices are worsening trade conditions, adding extra pressure on the Japanese economy.
This means that the current macro environment is not one-dimensional bu

“Most things in the world develop in the direction capital envisions, and capital operations will make politics cooperate.”
Below are the top 10 stocks by combined holdings from the first 77 of the world’s major investment institutions over the past two weeks (ranked by global consensus weight):
🥇 First Tier (Absolute Core)
1. NVIDIA (NVDA)
2. Microsoft (MSFT)
3. Apple (AAPL)
👉 Logic:
• Almost all ETFs & active funds have this as their top weighting
• NVDA has become the largest consensus position
⸻
🥈 Second Tier (Platform Tech)
4. Amazon (AMZN)
5. Alphabet (