Yang Guangbit (4.20) Evening Forecast: U.S.-Iran Tensions Heat Up, Bitcoin Stabilizes Then Rises Tonight

【News Overview】
The U.S.-Iran standoff enters the final 48-hour sprint! Iranian officials publicly stated during the day, "No second round of talks planned," which is purely a tough bargaining chip, not closing the Pakistan mediation channel; the U.S. delegation has arrived in Islamabad, and the venue is fully prepared, Trump's eagerness to negotiate is evident. No real battles during the ceasefire period, both sides' maritime and drone friction on the 19th are "fighting without escalation," all show pressure. The official announcement of the negotiation schedule is expected tonight or tomorrow (4.20-21), with talks definitely starting on the 22nd-23rd and phased results expected, easing remains the main trend.
【Market Status】
BTC current price around 75,200, after dipping to 73,700 during the day, it stabilized and rebounded, with strong support at 73,500-74,200; the four-hour bullish structure remains intact, supported by moving averages and ETF capital inflows, the pullback is just accumulation. Short-term resistance at 76,000-76,800, strong resistance at 77,200, downside momentum is very weak, geopolitical positives could trigger a rebound at any time.
【Evening Strategy】
Holders: Long positions at 75,000-75,300, target 76,800-77,200, break to look at 78,500-79,200;
No entry: Buy directly around current price 75,200, stop loss below 73,500, betting on official positive news to push higher;
Extreme plan: If sudden negotiations break down and turn negative, retrace to 73,500-74,200 to add longs, space is controllable, rebound is inevitable.
Strength is real, not bragging; last night’s short positions were precisely executed, tonight I will continue to help you win effortlessly 💪$BTC ‌#美伊冲突再起引发市场动荡