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#Gate广场四月发帖挑战 #美伊停火协议谈判再生变故 When I woke up, the sky was falling. Are Iran and the US no longer negotiating? Is Bitcoin going to crash? Hurry and take a look.
1. No one expected Iran to be so aggressive. During negotiations, they stated they would not give up enrichment of uranium, and it still seems they want to build an atomic bomb. The US and Iran parted ways unhappily, will the conflict continue to escalate?
2. That’s possible, but honestly, Iran’s embargo issues will gradually be ignored by the market. Just like the Russia-Ukraine war initially, when the US sanctioned Russian oil, oil prices temporarily soared to 140. But what happened afterward? Other oil-producing countries increased their output to fill the gap, and oil prices steadily declined, eventually returning to a normal level of 60.
3. So, as a global market, adaptability is very high. A 15% reduction in oil supply will gradually be replaced by increased production from other producers, and consumers will also reduce usage due to high oil prices. The market will ultimately reach a new supply and demand balance, but this takes time.
However, because the fundamentals have become highly uncertain, we need to operate more conservatively. When the market changes, we must make corresponding adjustments. $BTC $ETH