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The bear market has finally seen a significant positive development: the US "CLARITY Act" is highly likely to pass.
The importance of this bill is actually much greater than that of the previous genius bill. Currently, the market generally expects it to be implemented sometime between mid-April and May.
According to prediction markets, Polymarket assigns a 72% probability to this happening. This is no longer just an expectation but is being actively traded as a high-probability event.
Once passed, exchanges like Sesame are likely to be able to operate legally and register officially in the US, meaning they can openly serve US-based users and handle domestic funds.
If the bill clearly states that most digital assets are no longer under SEC regulation, it effectively removes the biggest uncertainty from the past.
For institutions, the biggest issue has never been profitability but whether they can enter compliantly. Once the rules are clarified, the channel for US domestic and institutional funds to enter will be open.
Although we are still in a bear market and institutional funds won't flow in immediately even if the bill passes, the barrier that previously prevented compliant institutional capital from entering has been removed, which is a significant positive development. #Gate广场四月发帖挑战