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Tether (USDT issuer) is launching a fundraising push with a $500 billion valuation, but the market response has been tepid, facing an awkward situation of "high valuation but low market activity."
📊 Key Developments in the Fundraising
Valuation Benchmark: The $500 billion valuation surpasses that of American banks, second only to JPMorgan Chase, equivalent to the size of "the second-largest bank in the world."
Ultimatum: Giving investors approximately two weeks (until mid-April) to commit; if demand is insufficient, the plan will be postponed.
Fundraising Scale: Rumors previously suggested raising $15-20 billion, but the CEO has called this a "hypothetical discussion," with the exact amount still undecided.
🧐 Why is the market not buying it?
Valuation Bubble: USDT’s market cap is about $184 billion, so a $500 billion valuation implies a significant premium (P/S ratio > 2.7), far exceeding traditional fintech companies.
Transparency Concerns: Although KPMG has been hired for the first comprehensive audit, a long history of relying on proof of reserves (PoR) has made institutions cautious about its risk management.
Single Revenue Source: Profits are highly dependent on government bond interest, and the market worries about the lack of high-growth narratives like AI or tech companies.
⚠️ Impact on the Crypto Market
USDT Security: Funding difficulties do not mean USDT will collapse. Tether has strong cash flow; delaying fundraising is just a pause on expansion, not affecting reserve redemption.
Market Sentiment: If the fundraising fails, it could be interpreted as "traditional capital does not recognize crypto infrastructure valuations," which may temporarily suppress market sentiment.
Watch the Audit Results: The KPMG audit report (expected to be released this year) is the key to determining its long-term credibility, not the success or failure of the fundraising.
Conclusion: This is Tether’s attempt to "align" with traditional financial pricing. Failure would not materially impact USDT’s usage but would delay its expansion into new areas like AI and mining.