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Crude Oil Market Analysis:
As shown in the chart: Current WTI crude oil at $112
Short-term: Extreme bullish trend driven by geopolitical factors, core drivers: escalation of US-Iran conflict, Strait of Hormuz shipping risks. Single-day surge over 10%, community entry at 80/85, currently up nearly 30%. Congratulations to those who entered early.
Technical outlook: Breakout of previous high, moving averages aligned bullishly, MACD golden cross, trend very strong.
Risk points: Geopolitical premium of about $18-20 per barrel. After sentiment recedes, prices may quickly fall back. Trading idea: go long (follow the trend).
Watch for pullbacks to enter:
Light position at $108-110 support zone for long positions.
Stop loss: $106 (exit if broken)
Take profit: $115-118 (previous high resistance zone)
For short positions (cautiously):
Enter near the upper range:
Attempt short at $115-118 resistance zone (short-term only).
Stop loss: $120 (invalidates if broken)
Take profit: $108-110
News to watch:
Wait-and-see (before major events): EIA inventory reports, OPEC meetings, geopolitical news releases.
(Recommendation for reference only)