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On April 2nd, spot gold rose by 0.8 intraday, briefly surpassing $4,800 per ounce, marking the fifth consecutive trading day of gains. Market analysis suggests that the resonance between geopolitical tensions and policy expectations is driving continuous inflows of safe-haven funds into gold.
In terms of news, Trump is expected to announce during a prime-time speech that all objectives in the military operations against Iran have been achieved, signaling that the war is nearing its end and paving the way for the U.S. to gradually withdraw from the conflict.
Meanwhile, the U.S. may delegate the issue of shipping disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz to NATO, Europe, and Gulf countries, indicating that the U.S. is seeking a "dignified exit" path.
Against the backdrop of Iran's ongoing restrictions on Strait navigation and international oil prices breaking above $100 per barrel, concerns about Middle East instability and energy shocks are intensifying. Coupled with policy maneuvers and alliance disagreements amid expectations of a "conclusion" to the war, the demand for safe-haven assets has further strengthened, driving gold prices higher. #四月行情预测