1. Main Strategy: Low Buy (Defend Key Support Zone)

• Entry: Price retraces to the 2014-2000 range and shows stabilization signals such as KDJ oversold rebound and increased trading volume.

• Target: First target 2070 ( halve position ), second target 2089.

• Stop Loss: 1985 ( strictly set below the key support ).

• Logic: This area is the low point of a flash crash and suspected large fund cost zone, prone to market support or rebound.

2. Auxiliary Strategy: Short Selling at Resistance (Testing Core Resistance Zone)

• Entry: Price rebounds to the 2089-2092 zone and encounters resistance, with weakening signals such as MACD death cross.

• Targets: 2050 → 2014.

• Stop Loss: 2105 ( consider reversing to long if broken ).

• Logic: This area is a dense sell pressure zone, where market makers will actively provide sell liquidity.

3. Most Stable Strategy: Wait and Observe, then Trade within the Range

• Before 12:00: Do not chase gains or cut losses, avoid false breakouts.

• After 12:00: If the 4-hour candlestick confirms closing within the 2040-2090 range, then buy low and sell high within this zone.

• Note: Wait for an additional 15-minute chart confirmation after the close before entering.

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Key Risk Alerts

• Liquidity Risk: Around 12:00, sudden geopolitical conflicts (such as Iran/Houthi) or large ETF fund outflows may cause liquidity to dry up instantly, with volatility spiking from 6% to over 10%.

• Direction Switch: The closing result within the 2040-2070 range is the core basis for market makers (MM) to adjust inventory direction and determine subsequent liquidity extraction. Treat it as the “switch” for today’s final decision.

Core Reminder: Keep a close eye on the 12:00 closing price. Stay bullish if above 2070, bearish if below 2040. Trade within the range with high sell and low buy, and strictly set stop losses to prevent sudden changes.